HRZN NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Horizon Technology Finance · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 4.32 USD
0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a -7.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 4.32 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -7.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.3%. Indicator stack 3/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 33/100 conviction; expected move 18.3%. News sentiment 55/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a -7.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2512-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.3% over four weeks, 7.2% over 12 weeks, and -26.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.2%
4W-7.3%
12W7.2%
26W-24.0%
52W-26.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.52Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength72/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
16.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
60.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
30.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
159.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
1697.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
26.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-4.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
21.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
13.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

HRZN shows bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.46, expected move of 18.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction33/100
Expected move18.3%
Put/call volume0.46
Pressure45
Speculation16
Volatility42
Trend agreement24
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

15 positive · 33 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-29.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape25/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.25; No reversal markers Factors61/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 82; Small Cap Core rank 20 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

HRZN shows bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.46, expected move of 18.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 18.3% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Horizon Technology Finance Corp expected to post earnings of 13 cents a share - Earnings Preview Insiders9 / 0

9 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.32 USD0.2%4.40 USD6.27 USD0.52-17.622.6MOff
24 Jul 20264.31 USD-7.5%4.44 USD6.29 USD0.57-18.272.5MOff
17 Jul 20264.66 USD1.5%4.48 USD6.32 USD0.61-14.103.6MOff
10 Jul 20264.59 USD-1.5%4.50 USD6.33 USD0.59-19.753.0MOff
3 Jul 20264.66 USD7.0%4.53 USD6.35 USD0.57-18.062.2MOff
26 Jun 20264.35 USD4.5%4.55 USD6.37 USD0.50-23.452.9MOff
19 Jun 20264.17 USD7.5%4.59 USD6.39 USD0.37-30.674.0MOff
12 Jun 20263.88 USD-6.4%4.63 USD6.40 USD0.11-34.554.7MOff
5 Jun 20264.14 USD4.8%4.68 USD6.42 USD-0.15-29.334.7MOff
29 May 20263.95 USD9.5%4.72 USD6.44 USD-0.33-36.303.4MOff
22 May 20263.61 USD-4.2%4.76 USD6.46 USD-0.50-40.884.1MOff
15 May 20263.77 USD-6.4%4.80 USD6.49 USD-0.58-38.333.7MOff
8 May 20264.03 USD7.6%4.84 USD6.51 USD-0.64-35.095.6MOff
1 May 20263.74 USD8.8%4.86 USD6.53 USD-0.81-37.144.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.