- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
OPAL
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
OPAL Fuels Inc · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Latest close
2.35 USD
6.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.3%, after a 11.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
2.35 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
6.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
11.5%
6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.36% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.4%.
Indicator stack
6/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.36%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
59/100 conviction; expected move 38.3%.
News sentiment
50/100
44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.3%, after a 11.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1112-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.4% over four weeks, 3.5% over 12 weeks, and 4.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change155.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change67.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality65/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 3.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 28.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 29.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 2.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 32.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 1.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 73.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -33.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 16.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 16.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 10.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
OPAL shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 38.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction59/100
Expected move38.3%
Put/call volume
Insider activity10 / 0
10 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.
6 positive · 32 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move38.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.2%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-14.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+6.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.0% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Utilities
4-week rank2 / 100
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS14.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Utilities - Regulated Gas
4-week rank1 / 16
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth31.3%
Trend31.2%active weekly trend signals
MD37.5%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.36%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.36% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 36; Buyback Yield rank 59; Small Cap Core rank 16 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options45/100OPAL shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 38.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 38.3% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.
OPAL Fuels (NASDAQ:OPAL) Upgraded at Wall Street Zen Insiders10 / 010 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.35 USD | 6.3% | 2.25 USD | 3.58 USD | 0.22 | -6.89 | 944.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.21 USD | -12.6% | 2.25 USD | 3.61 USD | 0.06 | -12.27 | 985.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.53 USD | 22.2% | 2.26 USD | 3.65 USD | 0.07 | -1.80 | 1.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.07 USD | -1.9% | 2.25 USD | 3.67 USD | -0.35 | -23.34 | 1.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.11 USD | -0.5% | 2.27 USD | 3.71 USD | -0.40 | -21.13 | 2.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.12 USD | 14.0% | 2.28 USD | 3.74 USD | -0.38 | -20.83 | 2.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.86 USD | -3.6% | 2.29 USD | 3.77 USD | -0.33 | -34.20 | 1.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.93 USD | -7.9% | 2.31 USD | 3.81 USD | -0.05 | -31.11 | 871.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.10 USD | -7.3% | 2.32 USD | 3.84 USD | 0.02 | -24.70 | 1.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.26 USD | 4.6% | 2.32 USD | 3.87 USD | 0.02 | -23.59 | 981.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.16 USD | 11.3% | 2.33 USD | 3.89 USD | -0.20 | -26.20 | 1.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.94 USD | -14.5% | 2.34 USD | 3.92 USD | -0.33 | -33.64 | 1.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.27 USD | 3.2% | 2.36 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.14 | -23.32 | 691.0K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 2.20 USD | -6.0% | 2.37 USD | 3.97 USD | -0.14 | -22.07 | 711.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.