JPX Equity Snapshot

3696 Weekly Equity Report

Ceres Inc.

Latest Close 1,781 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -0.4% latest completed week
4W Return -6.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Ceres Inc. offers mobile and financial services in Japan and internationally. It offers its services through Points, where the company operates Moppy that is a service giving points to exchange for cash or electronic money; AD.TRACK, an ASP that connects advertisements related to advertisers products and services with affiliate media; D2C business for developing, manufacturing, and selling products in-house; and DX business for supporting business, business transformation, and customer contact point reform. The company also provides blockchain, online factoring, and investment development business services. Ceres Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Setagaya, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

3696 closed the latest completed week at 1,781 JPY. The 4-week return is -6.9% and the 12-week return is 18.8%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is 0.86. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 27/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -0.3%
Volume 0.8x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 8 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 51 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 66 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 35 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,786 JPY
Vs Trend Line
-0.3%
Fair Value
1,746 JPY
Vs Fair Value
2.0%
52W High
2,741 JPY
52W Low
1,393 JPY
Drawdown
-35.0%
Range Position
28.8%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -0.4%
4W -6.9%
12W 18.8%
26W -9.6%
52W -18.1%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
8
52W Active Breadth
15.4%
Sector Scope
JP Industrials
Sector Rank
410 of 995
Sector Percentile
58.9%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.86
4W MD Change
9.7%
Relative Strength
-34.30
4W RS Change
-24.4%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
44.66%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
749.5K
13W Average
891.8K
52W Average
1.4M
Vs 13W
0.8x
Vs 52W
0.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
10.8%
52W Volatility
7.2%
Upside Weeks
18
Downside Weeks
33
Downside Breadth
63.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
6.1% / -3.6%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Conglomerates
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
21.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,781 JPY -0.4% 1,786 JPY 1,746 JPY 0.86 -34.30 749.5K Off
5 Jun 2026 1,789 JPY -0.5% 1,797 JPY 1,740 JPY 0.97 -35.49 1.1M Off
29 May 2026 1,798 JPY -0.2% 1,806 JPY 1,735 JPY 1.09 -35.71 1.2M Off
22 May 2026 1,801 JPY -5.9% 1,813 JPY 1,729 JPY 1.25 -33.38 795.7K Off
15 May 2026 1,914 JPY -3.6% 1,826 JPY 1,724 JPY 0.79 -27.57 875.4K Off
8 May 2026 1,985 JPY -3.7% 1,834 JPY 1,718 JPY 0.26 -27.03 1.1M Off
1 May 2026 2,062 JPY 37.9% 1,847 JPY 1,712 JPY -0.51 -20.79 2.4M Off
24 Apr 2026 1,495 JPY -4.4% 1,856 JPY 1,707 JPY -1.40 -43.27 582.5K Off
17 Apr 2026 1,563 JPY 4.3% 1,889 JPY 1,706 JPY -1.56 -40.27 408.3K Off
10 Apr 2026 1,498 JPY 2.8% 1,925 JPY 1,705 JPY -1.77 -41.98 505.5K Off
3 Apr 2026 1,457 JPY -2.1% 1,953 JPY 1,704 JPY -1.80 -40.40 567.5K Off
27 Mar 2026 1,489 JPY -0.7% 1,985 JPY 1,702 JPY -1.61 -40.19 723.7K Off
20 Mar 2026 1,499 JPY -3.3% 2,017 JPY 1,700 JPY -1.63 -40.66 512.6K Off
13 Mar 2026 1,550 JPY -1.5% 2,047 JPY 1,698 JPY -1.55 -39.99 527.0K Off