AFCG NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AFC Gamma Inc · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 2.69 USD
4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a -14.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 45/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 19 out of 100
Latest Close 2.69 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.7% latest completed week
4W Return -14.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -15.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -14.1%. Indicator stack 10/25 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 46/100 conviction; expected move 28.4%. News sentiment 45/100 36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a -14.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5612-week average 0.49

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -14.1% over four weeks, -15.1% over 12 weeks, and -34.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.7%
4W-14.1%
12W-15.1%
26W19.0%
52W-34.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-183.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-31.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength50/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
8.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-29.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
61.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-46.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-28.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
9.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-10.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

AFCG shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 28.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction46/100
Expected move28.4%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure85
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 0

1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

5 positive · 14 neutral · 17 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move28.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.1%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+4.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape21/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis55/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.56; No reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 54; Small Cap Core rank 15 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

AFCG shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 28.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 28.4% Sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. Revenue Breakdown – NASDAQ:AFCG Insiders1 / 0

1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.69 USD4.7%2.79 USD5.30 USD-0.57-20.59332.1KOff
24 Jul 20262.57 USD-8.5%2.79 USD5.33 USD-0.27-24.76449.9KOn
17 Jul 20262.81 USD-2.1%2.81 USD5.35 USD0.07-20.24446.2KOn
10 Jul 20262.87 USD-8.3%2.81 USD5.38 USD0.37-23.00487.9KOn
3 Jul 20263.13 USD1.6%2.83 USD5.40 USD0.68-15.70356.0KOn
26 Jun 20263.08 USD-4.3%2.82 USD5.41 USD0.89-17.43581.8KOn
19 Jun 20263.22 USD-4.4%2.81 USD5.43 USD1.07-18.69621.3KOn
12 Jun 20263.37 USD-2.0%2.79 USD5.45 USD1.25-13.84448.0KOn
5 Jun 20263.43 USD-6.4%2.78 USD5.47 USD1.40-11.08742.3KOn
29 May 20263.67 USD3.2%2.77 USD5.48 USD1.51-10.69600.7KOn
22 May 20263.56 USD18.1%2.75 USD5.49 USD1.47-12.091.7MOff
15 May 20263.01 USD-5.0%2.75 USD5.50 USD1.41-25.593.1MOff
8 May 20263.17 USD11.0%2.76 USD5.52 USD1.31-23.252.2MOff
1 May 20262.85 USD-4.5%2.76 USD5.53 USD1.11-28.49638.1KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.