- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
CKA
ASX
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Cokal Limited · Basic Materials · Coking Coal
Latest close
0.06 AUD
-1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 55.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
0.06 AUD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
55.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
7.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 55.3%.
Indicator stack
33/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.17%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 55.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 55.3% over four weeks, 7.3% over 12 weeks, and 96.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change77.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change148.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 24%
Model confidence 13%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value62/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum62/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Growth62/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
3 positive · 12 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-20.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol11.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.5% / -8.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-5.2%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS39.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Coking Coal
4-week rank1 / 8
Group average8.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis17/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.17%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.17% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28; Small Cap Core rank 45 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
Cokal Limited Revenue Breakdown – ASX:CKA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -1.7% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -0.41 | 12.33 | 428.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.06 AUD | 22.4% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -0.88 | 15.12 | 3.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 14.0% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.41 | -5.21 | 4.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.04 AUD | 13.2% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.72 | -16.62 | 2.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -13.6% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.81 | -25.41 | 1.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.04 AUD | -8.3% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.79 | -14.04 | 19.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 4.3% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.73 | -5.47 | 190.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.05 AUD | -9.8% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.66 | -7.00 | 994.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 0.0% | 0.06 AUD | 0.07 AUD | -1.48 | 2.36 | 242.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 2.0% | 0.06 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -1.27 | 3.83 | 1.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.05 AUD | 4.2% | 0.06 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -1.13 | 2.82 | 1.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.05 AUD | -12.7% | 0.06 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.94 | -1.96 | 5.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -15.4% | 0.06 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.74 | 12.96 | 5.3M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 0.07 AUD | -4.4% | 0.06 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.71 | 33.92 | 956.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.