- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
EVTL
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vertical Aerospace Ltd · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
1.24 USD
-10.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -59.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.1%, after a -33.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 66/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
15
out of 100
Latest Close
1.24 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-10.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-33.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-55.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
19.2%
10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-10.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -33.0%.
Indicator stack
11/22
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.57%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
66/100 conviction; expected move 33.8%.
News sentiment
57/100
62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -59.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.1%, after a -33.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -33.0% over four weeks, -55.9% over 12 weeks, and -78.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.59Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-216.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-71.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-16.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 61%
Model confidence 58%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality61/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Momentum63/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Growth63/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -55.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -5656.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -63.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -63.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
EVTL shows volatility options pressure with a 66/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 56.00, expected move of 33.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction66/100
Expected move33.8%
Put/call volume56.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.
22 positive · 33 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move33.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-83.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.8%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-42.6%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-10.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses12
Recent vol10.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.9% / -8.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.6%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank72 / 82
Group average-10.6%
Trend breadth23.2%
Trend23.2%active weekly trend signals
MD34.1%positive activity pressure
RS26.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape17/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 17/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.57%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.57% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 97; Small Cap Core rank 46 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options57/100EVTL shows volatility options pressure with a 66/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 56.00, expected move of 33.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 33.8% Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.
QS Stock Drops Overnight Despite Earnings Beat: CEO Sees Bigger Opportunity In AI Data Centers And Aerospace Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.24 USD | -10.1% | 3.09 USD | 6.35 USD | -0.59 | -71.65 | 11.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.38 USD | -6.8% | 3.24 USD | 6.45 USD | -0.39 | -68.90 | 13.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.48 USD | -10.8% | 3.38 USD | 6.56 USD | -0.28 | -67.79 | 10.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.66 USD | -10.3% | 3.52 USD | 6.66 USD | -0.20 | -65.42 | 9.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.85 USD | 10.8% | 3.65 USD | 6.76 USD | -0.19 | -61.61 | 9.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.67 USD | -22.3% | 3.82 USD | 6.87 USD | -0.26 | -65.51 | 11.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.15 USD | 0.5% | 3.91 USD | 6.98 USD | -0.19 | -57.72 | 6.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.14 USD | -0.9% | 3.97 USD | 7.08 USD | -0.25 | -58.24 | 11.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.16 USD | -20.0% | 4.04 USD | 7.18 USD | -0.36 | -58.39 | 14.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.70 USD | 3.1% | 4.11 USD | 7.29 USD | -0.38 | -50.13 | 19.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.62 USD | 2.7% | 4.17 USD | 7.40 USD | -0.66 | -51.63 | 13.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.55 USD | -9.3% | 4.24 USD | 7.50 USD | -0.83 | -53.24 | 12.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.81 USD | 15.6% | 4.32 USD | 7.60 USD | -0.82 | -49.20 | 21.9M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 2.43 USD | 2.5% | 4.40 USD | 7.68 USD | -0.94 | -55.49 | 11.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.