MKP TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MCAN Mortgage Corporation · Financial Services · Mortgage Finance

Latest close 23.59 CAD
-8.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.4%, after a -9.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 23.59 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.4% latest completed week
4W Return -9.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 67-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.4%, after a -9.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.89

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.6% over four weeks, -3.0% over 12 weeks, and 25.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 67 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.4%
4W-9.6%
12W-3.0%
26W9.1%
52W25.4%
Active trend streak67 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change52.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-147.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 70%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength67/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum69/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
45.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-7.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-86.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

1 positive · 22 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-8.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202623.59 CAD-8.4%23.68 CAD17.35 CAD1.01-3.41594.0KOn
24 Jul 202625.74 CAD-1.4%23.62 CAD17.28 CAD1.574.89244.9KOn
17 Jul 202626.11 CAD-1.1%23.48 CAD17.20 CAD1.426.84329.2KOn
10 Jul 202626.39 CAD1.1%23.32 CAD17.11 CAD1.118.04211.8KOn
3 Jul 202626.10 CAD5.6%23.17 CAD17.02 CAD0.667.26316.6KOn
26 Jun 202624.72 CAD-0.2%23.01 CAD16.93 CAD0.192.5733.0KOn
19 Jun 202624.77 CAD2.0%22.88 CAD16.85 CAD0.072.9259.7KOn
12 Jun 202624.29 CAD0.0%22.73 CAD16.77 CAD-0.011.1074.6KOn
5 Jun 202624.29 CAD-0.3%22.61 CAD16.70 CAD0.012.7147.5KOn
29 May 202624.37 CAD-0.8%22.50 CAD16.62 CAD0.282.10132.7KOn
22 May 202624.57 CAD2.7%22.37 CAD16.54 CAD0.603.85103.3KOn
15 May 202623.92 CAD-1.6%22.22 CAD16.47 CAD0.643.14201.5KOn
8 May 202624.31 CAD-3.5%22.09 CAD16.39 CAD0.724.17522.7KOn
1 May 202625.20 CAD5.0%21.92 CAD16.31 CAD0.488.68386.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.