FIX NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Comfort Systems USA Inc · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Latest close 1,734 USD
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a -6.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 65/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 1,734 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return -6.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 57-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 64.19% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a -6.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8112-week average 0.90

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.81Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.5% over four weeks, -7.1% over 12 weeks, and 152.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 57 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W-6.5%
12W-7.1%
26W54.7%
52W152.3%
Active trend streak57 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-172.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership30.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-39.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
42.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
30.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
25.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
84.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
46.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
107.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
270.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

FIX shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.50, expected move of 13.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move13.9%
Put/call volume1.50
Pressure-24
Speculation42
Volatility90
Trend agreement72
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment65/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 53 relevant articles.

33 positive · 16 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split35/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20261,734 USD3.6%1,550 USD639.4 USD-0.7230.132.7MOn
17 Jul 20261,674 USD-4.7%1,525 USD629.4 USD-0.4126.622.6MOn
10 Jul 20261,756 USD0.8%1,500 USD619.7 USD0.0632.732.3MOn
3 Jul 20261,741 USD-6.1%1,474 USD609.5 USD0.5835.572.1MOn
26 Jun 20261,854 USD-5.8%1,449 USD599.3 USD1.0049.943.5MOn
19 Jun 20261,967 USD4.8%1,420 USD588.5 USD1.0358.302.1MOn
12 Jun 20261,878 USD1.8%1,384 USD576.9 USD0.9855.692.4MOn
5 Jun 20261,844 USD0.9%1,352 USD565.9 USD1.0756.922.3MOn
29 May 20261,828 USD-0.0%1,322 USD555.0 USD1.3054.751.9MOn
22 May 20261,828 USD-8.3%1,293 USD544.3 USD1.6260.162.0MOn
15 May 20261,993 USD2.1%1,265 USD533.5 USD1.8979.781.9MOn
8 May 20261,952 USD4.6%1,226 USD521.7 USD1.8380.832.0MOn
1 May 20261,866 USD8.2%1,188 USD510.2 USD1.6481.452.1MOn
24 Apr 20261,725 USD4.6%1,153 USD499.2 USD1.3173.592.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.