NNI NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nelnet Inc · Financial Services · Credit Services

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Latest close 135.9 USD
1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 135.9 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.9% latest completed week
4W Return 0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%. Indicator stack 52/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 54/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%. News sentiment 50/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6012-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, 11.3% over 12 weeks, and 11.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.9%
4W0.5%
12W11.3%
26W3.5%
52W11.5%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1103.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength79/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework56/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
80.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
33.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
115.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-24.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
9.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

NNI shows bearish options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction54/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume8.00
Pressure-68
Speculation36
Volatility58
Trend agreement44
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 4

10 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

5 positive · 46 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-13.6%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains16
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape40/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.60; 3 reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 25; Small Cap Core rank 35 SVQF56/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 446.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

NNI shows bearish options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

Nelnet, Inc. $NNI Shares Bought by Edgestream Partners L.P. Insiders10 / 4

10 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026135.9 USD1.9%131.6 USD110.7 USD-0.20-4.22480.6KOn
24 Jul 2026133.4 USD-0.7%131.4 USD110.4 USD-0.18-5.12378.5KOn
17 Jul 2026134.3 USD0.6%131.4 USD110.2 USD0.08-5.17510.4KOn
10 Jul 2026133.5 USD-1.3%131.6 USD109.9 USD0.03-7.27471.2KOff
3 Jul 2026135.3 USD0.6%131.5 USD109.7 USD0.02-4.95459.6KOff
26 Jun 2026134.4 USD3.1%131.3 USD109.4 USD-0.08-3.641.1MOff
19 Jun 2026130.3 USD0.0%131.1 USD109.1 USD-0.34-8.88661.5KOff
12 Jun 2026130.3 USD1.0%131.0 USD108.9 USD-0.36-8.22745.6KOff
5 Jun 2026129.0 USD-0.9%131.0 USD108.7 USD-0.41-8.71669.8KOff
29 May 2026130.2 USD1.3%131.0 USD108.5 USD-0.46-10.32541.0KOff
22 May 2026128.6 USD2.8%131.0 USD108.3 USD-0.10-10.36644.7KOff
15 May 2026125.1 USD2.5%131.1 USD108.0 USD0.32-12.29848.3KOff
8 May 2026122.1 USD-13.6%131.2 USD107.8 USD0.53-14.47693.9KOn
1 May 2026141.3 USD0.4%131.3 USD107.6 USD0.660.99480.6KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.