FSS NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Federal Signal Corporation · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

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Latest close 125.0 USD
5.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a -4.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 125.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.1% latest completed week
4W Return -4.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.7%. Indicator stack 45/56 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 7.5%. News sentiment 59/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a -4.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5012-week average 0.35

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.50Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.7% over four weeks, 5.7% over 12 weeks, and 2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.1%
4W-4.7%
12W5.7%
26W15.9%
52W2.5%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-47.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-135.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength14/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework47/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
26.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
23.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
28.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
26.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

FSS shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 7.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move7.5%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure94
Speculation19
Volatility59
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 6

12 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

23 positive · 32 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+5.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis41/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.50; 9 reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 36; Small Cap Core rank 88 SVQF47/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 537.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

FSS shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 7.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.5% Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Federal Signal (FSS) Is Up 5.1% After Record Q2 2026 And Raised Sales Outlook - What's Changed Insiders12 / 6

12 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026125.0 USD5.1%114.6 USD94.15 USD0.53-1.102.8MOn
24 Jul 2026118.9 USD1.9%114.1 USD93.73 USD0.75-5.201.8MOn
17 Jul 2026116.6 USD1.2%113.9 USD93.35 USD1.10-7.662.9MOn
10 Jul 2026115.2 USD-12.1%113.8 USD93.00 USD1.17-10.353.0MOn
3 Jul 2026131.1 USD4.6%113.6 USD92.67 USD1.013.103.1MOn
26 Jun 2026125.4 USD5.8%112.9 USD92.22 USD0.390.714.7MOn
19 Jun 2026118.5 USD8.6%112.5 USD91.82 USD-0.22-7.052.2MOff
12 Jun 2026109.1 USD2.5%112.2 USD91.45 USD-0.50-13.752.6MOff
5 Jun 2026106.5 USD-0.2%112.2 USD91.15 USD-0.57-15.542.3MOff
29 May 2026106.7 USD-5.2%112.3 USD90.84 USD-0.21-17.702.0MOff
22 May 2026112.6 USD1.1%112.7 USD90.52 USD0.27-12.071.7MOn
15 May 2026111.3 USD-5.8%113.1 USD90.14 USD0.40-12.401.7MOff
8 May 2026118.2 USD-2.7%113.4 USD89.77 USD0.50-6.932.3MOff
1 May 2026121.4 USD4.8%113.3 USD89.35 USD0.31-2.093.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.