TCBX NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 42.75 USD
5.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.2%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 42.75 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.2% latest completed week
4W Return 4.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.2%, after a 4.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5412-week average 0.46

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, 13.1% over 12 weeks, and 16.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.2%
4W4.8%
12W13.1%
26W5.6%
52W16.8%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change25.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change153.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value90/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth80/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
49.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-0.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
30.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-5.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TCBX shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move5.2%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation0
Volatility35
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 2

12 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

25 positive · 22 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+5.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202642.75 USD5.2%39.46 USD29.92 USD0.661.30779.0KOn
17 Jul 202640.62 USD1.9%39.34 USD29.78 USD0.61-4.32483.8KOff
10 Jul 202639.85 USD-0.4%39.34 USD29.64 USD0.66-7.68550.0KOff
3 Jul 202640.00 USD-1.9%39.34 USD29.49 USD0.72-6.22563.4KOff
26 Jun 202640.78 USD4.6%39.30 USD29.34 USD0.53-2.44988.8KOff
19 Jun 202638.99 USD-2.7%39.21 USD29.18 USD0.01-8.90602.0KOff
12 Jun 202640.08 USD2.2%39.15 USD29.03 USD-0.34-5.48556.5KOff
5 Jun 202639.21 USD2.5%39.06 USD28.89 USD-0.74-6.92413.6KOff
29 May 202638.26 USD0.5%38.97 USD28.74 USD-0.87-11.42302.7KOff
22 May 202638.08 USD3.0%38.92 USD28.61 USD-0.80-10.62386.1KOff
15 May 202636.97 USD-3.9%38.94 USD28.47 USD-0.66-12.53398.1KOff
8 May 202638.48 USD1.8%38.96 USD28.34 USD-0.34-8.89383.6KOff
1 May 202637.80 USD0.8%38.93 USD28.19 USD-0.12-8.50422.8KOff
24 Apr 202637.51 USD-10.9%38.92 USD28.04 USD-0.17-8.41608.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.