BVS ASX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Bravura Solutions Limited · Technology · Software - Application

Latest close 2.38 AUD
-8.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a 18.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 2.38 AUD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.8% latest completed week
4W Return 18.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a 18.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.29

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.4% over four weeks, 12.8% over 12 weeks, and 21.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.8%
4W18.4%
12W12.8%
26W4.2%
52W21.9%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change411.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change146.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 45%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
100.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
38.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
55.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
747.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
312.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
7.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
13.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

5 positive · 12 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.6%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-15.0%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week-8.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -6.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20262.38 AUD-8.8%2.17 AUD1.64 AUD0.914.836.6MOn
17 Jul 20262.61 AUD10.6%2.17 AUD1.62 AUD0.5415.036.9MOn
10 Jul 20262.36 AUD13.5%2.17 AUD1.61 AUD0.174.395.4MOff
3 Jul 20262.08 AUD3.5%2.17 AUD1.60 AUD-0.05-8.163.2MOff
26 Jun 20262.01 AUD-6.5%2.18 AUD1.59 AUD0.18-10.362.5MOff
19 Jun 20262.15 AUD-4.0%2.20 AUD1.58 AUD0.45-4.93933.5KOff
12 Jun 20262.24 AUD-4.7%2.20 AUD1.57 AUD0.58-0.66524.6KOff
5 Jun 20262.35 AUD1.3%2.20 AUD1.55 AUD0.716.444.4MOff
29 May 20262.32 AUD1.8%2.21 AUD1.54 AUD0.663.85960.3KOff
22 May 20262.28 AUD2.7%2.22 AUD1.53 AUD0.522.823.7MOff
15 May 20262.22 AUD-3.5%2.24 AUD1.52 AUD0.380.576.1MOff
8 May 20262.30 AUD9.0%2.26 AUD1.51 AUD0.183.074.0MOff
1 May 20262.11 AUD-1.4%2.29 AUD1.49 AUD-0.15-5.163.1MOff
24 Apr 20262.14 AUD-0.5%2.33 AUD1.48 AUD-0.38-4.474.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.