TCIEXP NSI Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TCI Express Limited · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

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Latest close 561.2 INR
-3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 35.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a 5.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 561.2 INR 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.3% latest completed week
4W Return 5.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.76% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.2%. Indicator stack 9/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.76% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 52/100 23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 35.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a 5.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1312-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.2% over four weeks, 7.0% over 12 weeks, and -19.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.3%
4W5.2%
12W7.0%
26W14.6%
52W-19.1%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change39.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change109.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value41/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
26.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
14.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-5.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-135.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

5 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-9.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis37/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.76%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.76% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors22/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 77; Small Cap Core rank 43 SVQF43/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 902.5 of 1590 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

TCI Express confirms no encumbrance on promoter shares for FY26 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026561.2 INR-3.3%529.9 INR880.2 INR1.060.66206.5KOn
17 Jul 2026580.4 INR3.7%530.3 INR886.4 INR1.141.411.1MOff
10 Jul 2026559.8 INR10.2%529.9 INR892.0 INR1.07-2.123.2MOff
3 Jul 2026507.9 INR-4.8%529.9 INR898.0 INR0.80-11.85377.9KOff
26 Jun 2026533.3 INR-0.8%531.9 INR904.2 INR0.76-7.205.1MOff
19 Jun 2026537.5 INR4.7%533.3 INR910.5 INR0.43-6.8710.2KOff
12 Jun 2026513.3 INR-2.8%535.5 INR917.1 INR0.37-10.117.0KOff
5 Jun 2026528.0 INR7.5%538.6 INR924.0 INR0.31-7.139.6KOff
29 May 2026491.0 INR-2.6%541.9 INR930.8 INR0.53-14.9470.7KOff
22 May 2026504.3 INR-1.7%547.9 INR937.8 INR0.70-13.91370.6KOff
15 May 2026513.0 INR-9.5%553.0 INR944.1 INR0.67-12.7784.0KOff
8 May 2026566.5 INR8.0%558.1 INR949.9 INR0.89-6.28201.5KOff
1 May 2026524.3 INR2.2%561.7 INR955.7 INR0.69-12.8447.1KOff
24 Apr 2026513.0 INR-5.6%568.3 INR961.5 INR0.53-14.75118.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.