GNE NZE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Genesis Energy Limited · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Latest close 2.56 NZD
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -1.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 2.56 NZD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9212-week average 0.67

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.5% over four weeks, 4.1% over 12 weeks, and 15.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W-1.5%
12W4.1%
26W8.7%
52W15.3%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-42.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-37.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

5 positive · 31 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNZ Utilities - Independent Power Producers
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-1.5%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.56 NZD-0.8%2.41 NZD2.16 NZD0.614.881.8MOn
24 Jul 20262.58 NZD-0.8%2.40 NZD2.16 NZD0.885.282.4MOn
17 Jul 20262.60 NZD0.8%2.39 NZD2.16 NZD0.936.842.5MOn
10 Jul 20262.58 NZD-0.8%2.38 NZD2.16 NZD1.105.504.0MOn
3 Jul 20262.60 NZD0.8%2.37 NZD2.16 NZD1.067.773.8MOn
26 Jun 20262.58 NZD-2.6%2.36 NZD2.15 NZD1.028.15474.7KOn
19 Jun 20262.65 NZD2.3%2.36 NZD2.15 NZD1.1011.326.4MOn
12 Jun 20262.59 NZD-1.9%2.35 NZD2.15 NZD0.869.92641.3KOn
5 Jun 20262.64 NZD5.2%2.34 NZD2.15 NZD0.9314.32587.7KOn
29 May 20262.51 NZD3.3%2.34 NZD2.14 NZD0.938.383.6MOff
22 May 20262.43 NZD-2.4%2.33 NZD2.14 NZD1.007.182.9MOff
15 May 20262.49 NZD1.2%2.34 NZD2.14 NZD1.0110.214.7MOff
8 May 20262.46 NZD0.0%2.33 NZD2.14 NZD0.607.403.7MOff
1 May 20262.46 NZD4.7%2.33 NZD2.14 NZD0.118.716.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.