- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.50% based on similar historical setup states.
AIP
NASDAQ
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Arteris Inc · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
22.44 USD
-9.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.0%, after a -1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 20d.
Setup score
34
out of 100
Latest Close
22.44 USD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-9.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-27.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.1%.
Indicator stack
48/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.50%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
48/100 conviction; expected move 0.0%.
News sentiment
51/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
20d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.0%, after a -1.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.55
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.1% over four weeks, -27.7% over 12 weeks, and 81.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change6.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-272.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 80%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 13.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 86.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -47.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 33.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -6.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -6.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
AIP shows bullish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of n/a, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction48/100
Expected move%
Put/call volume0.16
Insider activity5 / 15
5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
6 positive · 14 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings20dNext report is scheduled for 03 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-55.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.7%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-19.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-9.0%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.7% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.0%
Trend breadth61.0%
Trend61.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Semiconductors
4-week rank44 / 69
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth40.6%
Trend40.6%active weekly trend signals
MD21.7%positive activity pressure
RS50.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis30/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.50%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.50% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 89; Small Cap Core rank 97 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options46/100Call activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.
2026-10-12 · Use with limits · Priced move Unavailable Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
Arteris (AIP) Following Security Program Expansion Is The Undervalued Narrative Back Insiders5 / 155 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings20dNext report is scheduled for 03 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 22.44 USD | -9.0% | 28.33 USD | 12.83 USD | -1.04 | -11.73 | 2.9M | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 24.66 USD | 3.2% | 28.07 USD | 12.73 USD | -1.03 | -2.29 | 3.4M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 23.89 USD | 7.1% | 27.73 USD | 12.61 USD | -1.04 | -3.89 | 3.2M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 22.30 USD | -1.7% | 27.50 USD | 12.50 USD | -1.06 | -6.47 | 4.3M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 22.69 USD | 6.2% | 27.25 USD | 12.39 USD | -1.12 | -3.15 | 2.3M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 21.37 USD | -2.9% | 26.98 USD | 12.29 USD | -1.09 | -8.40 | 4.2M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 22.01 USD | -7.9% | 26.76 USD | 12.20 USD | -1.02 | -4.52 | 3.6M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 23.89 USD | -15.6% | 26.53 USD | 12.10 USD | -0.97 | 4.96 | 3.1M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 28.32 USD | -4.9% | 26.27 USD | 11.99 USD | -0.88 | 22.49 | 2.9M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 29.78 USD | -0.3% | 25.91 USD | 11.85 USD | -0.76 | 32.03 | 4.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 29.88 USD | -1.3% | 25.50 USD | 11.70 USD | -0.53 | 41.40 | 3.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 30.26 USD | -2.5% | 25.02 USD | 11.56 USD | -0.13 | 46.46 | 2.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 31.04 USD | -10.7% | 24.54 USD | 11.41 USD | 0.48 | 50.57 | 3.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 34.77 USD | -0.8% | 24.03 USD | 11.26 USD | 0.99 | 64.54 | 4.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.