Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
284
Transactions
4970 Avg 1417.1/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.4% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
9
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-284 of 284 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
8.34
19.14%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.56
-17.02%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
17.99
-0.28%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.43
-1.46%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.24
0.11%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.17
-7.54%
4
83.26
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.41
7.56%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.15
3.58%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
44.49
-4.28%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.79
-2.01%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
15.46
24.28%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
52.18
9.74%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.44
41.47%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
30 Jan 20262.43
4.88
100.82%
4
93.40
15.91%
32.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 961-990 of 4970
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
14 Nov 2025
Entry
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
53.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 23.98 · ROC 2.46% · RS 0.90
14 Nov 2025
Exit
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
2.93
20% entry drawdown
-30.40%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 4.21
14 Nov 2025
Exit
PRSO NASDAQ · Peraso Inc
0.90
20% entry drawdown
-25.69%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 1.21
14 Nov 2025
Entry
QNRX NASDAQ · Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd DRC
15.03
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 44.78 · ROC 8.32% · RS 14.14
14 Nov 2025
Exit
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
6.14
20% entry drawdown
-22.28%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 7.90
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
31.07
20% entry drawdown
-26.29%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 42.15
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RPID NASDAQ · Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc
4.21
Reversal Risk Warning
304.81%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.04
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
19.99
20% entry drawdown
-30.83%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 28.90
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
6.43
20% entry drawdown
-24.04%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 8.47
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SNSE NASDAQ · Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc
8.01
20% entry drawdown
-28.91%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 11.26
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
4.94
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 6.18
14 Nov 2025
Exit
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
2.63
20% entry drawdown
-33.92%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 3.98
14 Nov 2025
Exit
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
4.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.75%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 5.30
14 Nov 2025
Exit
TRIB NASDAQ · Trinity Biotech plc
0.88
20% entry drawdown
-24.23%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.16
14 Nov 2025
Exit
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 4.86
14 Nov 2025
Exit
VRM NASDAQ · Vroom, Inc. Common Stock
20.40
20% entry drawdown
-23.74%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 26.75
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
8.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.37%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 10.95
7 Nov 2025
Exit
AIMD NASDAQ · Ainos Inc
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 3.56
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ARBE NASDAQ · Arbe Robotics Ltd
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-25.23%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 2.18
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BAOS NASDAQ · Baosheng Media Group Holdings Ltd
2.57
20% entry drawdown
-22.12%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 3.30
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BCAB NASDAQ · Bioatla Inc
34.33
20% entry drawdown
-20.85%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 43.38
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
21.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.72 · ROC 21.21% · RS 23.48
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BKKT NYSE · Bakkt Holdings Inc
23.66
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.78 · ROC 18.99% · RS 22.31
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BRTX NASDAQ · BioRestorative Therapies Inc
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 1.75
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CIA NYSE · Citizens Inc
6.08
Reversal Risk Warning
94.25%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 3.13
7 Nov 2025
Exit
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
0.69
20% entry drawdown
-26.24%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 0.94
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CRBP NASDAQ · Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holding
10.52
20% entry drawdown
-29.06%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 14.83
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CTOR NASDAQ · Citius Oncology, Inc.
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-22.65%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 1.81
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-29.07%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 3.13
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DERM NASDAQ · Journey Medical Corp
9.11
Reversal Risk Warning
208.81%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 2.95