Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-283 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.56
-17.02%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
17.99
-0.28%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.43
-1.46%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.24
0.11%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.17
-7.54%
4
83.26
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.41
7.56%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.15
3.58%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
44.49
-4.28%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.79
-2.01%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
15.46
24.28%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
52.18
9.74%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.44
41.47%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
30 Jan 20262.43
4.88
100.82%
4
93.40
15.91%
32.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2101-2130 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
31 Jan 2025
Entry
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
3.18
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 50.99 · ROC 38.96% · RS 88.79
31 Jan 2025
Exit
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
5.94
20% entry drawdown
-21.94%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 7.61
31 Jan 2025
Entry
LPSN NASDAQ · LivePerson Inc
21.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.79 · ROC 9.89% · RS 20.62
31 Jan 2025
Entry
NMTC NASDAQ · Neuroone Medical Technologies Corp
6.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.32 · ROC 4.65% · RS 8.21
31 Jan 2025
Entry
QSI NASDAQ · QuantumSi Inc
1.98
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 45.64 · ROC 12.50% · RS 20.70
31 Jan 2025
Exit
RDW NYSE · Redwire Corp
23.92
Reversal Risk Warning
519.69%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 3.86
31 Jan 2025
Entry
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
17.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.45 · ROC 1.83% · RS 6.15
31 Jan 2025
Entry
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
1.88
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.71 · ROC 6.91% · RS 7.21
31 Jan 2025
Exit
VYNE NASDAQ · Vyne Therapeutics Inc
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-25.87%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 3.17
31 Jan 2025
Exit
WIMI NASDAQ · WiMi Hologram Cloud Inc
9.39
20% entry drawdown
-22.74%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 12.15
24 Jan 2025
Exit
ABAT NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
1.41
20% entry drawdown
-29.50%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 2.00
24 Jan 2025
Exit
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
5.11
20% entry drawdown
-21.51%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 6.51
24 Jan 2025
Entry
BAOS NASDAQ · Baosheng Media Group Holdings Ltd
3.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.67 · ROC 7.85% · RS 8.83
24 Jan 2025
Entry
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
3.05
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 20.01 · ROC 2.44% · RS 2.51
24 Jan 2025
Entry
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
18.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.27 · ROC 3.61% · RS 3.25
24 Jan 2025
Entry
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
2.84
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 24.37 · ROC 2.73% · RS 1.95
24 Jan 2025
Entry
FRSX NASDAQ · Foresight Autonomous Holdings Ltd ADR
27.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.36 · ROC 6.11% · RS 17.08
24 Jan 2025
Entry
FWDI NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
6.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.39 · ROC 3.27% · RS 19.19
24 Jan 2025
Exit
GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
5.52
20% entry drawdown
-20.35%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 6.93
24 Jan 2025
Entry
ICCC NASDAQ · ImmuCell Corporation
5.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.27 · ROC 2.41% · RS 0.85
24 Jan 2025
Entry
MBOT NASDAQ · Microbot Medical Inc
2.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.35 · ROC 11.89% · RS 63.94
24 Jan 2025
Exit
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
139.03
Reversal Risk Warning
5.57%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 131.70
24 Jan 2025
Entry
MVIS NASDAQ · Microvision Inc
1.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.39 · ROC 5.85% · RS 12.91
24 Jan 2025
Exit
QNCX NASDAQ · Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
318.00
20% entry drawdown
-22.44%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 410.00
24 Jan 2025
Exit
SCKT NASDAQ · Socket Mobile Inc
1.62
Reversal Risk Warning
9.86%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 1.47
24 Jan 2025
Entry
SPCB NASDAQ · Supercom Ltd
13.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.07 · ROC 28.61% · RS 184.94
24 Jan 2025
Exit
TE NYSE · T1 Energy Inc.
1.99
20% entry drawdown
-20.08%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 2.49
24 Jan 2025
Entry
TRVG NASDAQ · Trivago NV
2.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.92 · ROC 2.74% · RS 17.18
24 Jan 2025
Exit
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
25.46
Reversal Risk Warning
41.41%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 18.01
24 Jan 2025
Exit
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
11.48
20% entry drawdown
-25.45%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 15.40