Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.28
118.47%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
64.44
15.93%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.11
25.86%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
39.71
70.06%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5 Jun 20265.85
5.01
-14.36%
7
65.96
8.77%
8.65
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.25
15.98%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27 Mar 202627.87
50.06
79.63%
4
97.10
0.93%
24.59
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.47
42.36%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
22.73
13.13%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.01
15.21%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
11.16
2.95%
4
85.82
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
13.55
6.44%
6
97.98
4.92%
3.10
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.00
47.06%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
54.63
32.60%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.46
-3.15%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
53.49
1.38%
4
86.72
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
47.56
35.80%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
10.34
17.90%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
5.89
-6.12%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
4.09
9.65%
5
74.39
0.76%
7.72
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
7 Nov 20259.08
10.92
20.22%
8
24.09
1.07%
4.38
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.56
3.04%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
11.65
-8.41%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
8.11
-16.22%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
10.94
-0.05%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
43.12
-0.75%
8
90.19
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.05
60.10%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.27
-0.10%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
105.64
38.22%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.71
-3.13%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1861-1890 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
28 Mar 2025
Exit
NMTC NASDAQ · Neuroone Medical Technologies Corp
5.16
20% entry drawdown
-25.22%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 6.90
28 Mar 2025
Exit
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 2.28
28 Mar 2025
Entry
OCSL NASDAQ · Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
13.27
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 15.93 · ROC 0.29% · RS 0.54
28 Mar 2025
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
3.58
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 4.49
28 Mar 2025
Entry
PUK NYSE · Prudential PLC ADR
21.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.54 · ROC 2.75% · RS 23.61
28 Mar 2025
Entry
REBN NASDAQ · Reborn Coffee Inc
3.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.54 · ROC 3.73% · RS 18.00
28 Mar 2025
Exit
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3.06
20% entry drawdown
-21.34%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 3.89
28 Mar 2025
Entry
TAP-A NYSE · Molson Coors Beverage Company
56.54
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 79.35 · ROC 1.47% · RS 1.12
28 Mar 2025
Exit
ULCC NASDAQ · Frontier Group Holdings Inc
4.80
20% entry drawdown
-28.89%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 6.75
28 Mar 2025
Exit
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
4.31
20% entry drawdown
-24.39%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 5.70
21 Mar 2025
Entry
ALBT NASDAQ · Avalon GloboCare Corp.
6.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.73 · ROC 6.89% · RS 38.27
21 Mar 2025
Exit
ATXG NASDAQ · Addentax Group Corp
11.82
20% entry drawdown
-27.37%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 16.28
21 Mar 2025
Exit
BNTC NASDAQ · Benitec Biopharma Ltd ADR
16.11
Reversal Risk Warning
225.45%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 4.95
21 Mar 2025
Entry
CHTR NASDAQ · Charter Communications Inc
363.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.72 · ROC 0.18% · RS 10.20
21 Mar 2025
Exit
EVER NASDAQ · EverQuote Inc Class A
28.71
Reversal Risk Warning
128.58%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 12.56
21 Mar 2025
Entry
EYE NASDAQ · National Vision Holdings Inc
13.02
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 43.69 · ROC 1.34% · RS 1.09
21 Mar 2025
Entry
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
2.16
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 37.69 · ROC 1.40% · RS 4.07
21 Mar 2025
Entry
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
9.10
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 24.48 · ROC 0.77% · RS 5.93
21 Mar 2025
Exit
RXT NASDAQ · Rackspace Technology Inc
1.87
20% entry drawdown
-25.79%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 2.52
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
17.88
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.41 · ROC 1.80% · RS 31.62
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SY NASDAQ · So-Young International Inc
0.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.89 · ROC 1.23% · RS 5.91
21 Mar 2025
Entry
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
17.05
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 4.83 · ROC 0.98% · RS 0.97
21 Mar 2025
Exit
TRVG NASDAQ · Trivago NV
5.40
Reversal Risk Warning
84.30%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 2.93
21 Mar 2025
Entry
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
8.72
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 13.60 · ROC 1.22% · RS 3.44
21 Mar 2025
Entry
VRM NASDAQ · Vroom, Inc. Common Stock
26.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.22 · ROC 22.80% · RS 101.31
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ACR NYSE · Acres Commercial Realty Corp
22.90
Reversal Risk Warning
126.28%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 10.12
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-23.90%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.05
14 Mar 2025
Exit
AEO NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
10.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.40%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 13.81
14 Mar 2025
Entry
APPS NASDAQ · Digital Turbine Inc
3.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.66 · ROC 3.54% · RS 35.16
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
23.06
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 28.97