Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.28
118.47%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
64.44
15.93%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.11
25.86%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
39.71
70.06%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5 Jun 20265.85
5.01
-14.36%
7
65.96
8.77%
8.65
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.25
15.98%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27 Mar 202627.87
50.06
79.63%
4
97.10
0.93%
24.59
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.47
42.36%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
22.73
13.13%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.01
15.21%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
11.16
2.95%
4
85.82
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
13.55
6.44%
6
97.98
4.92%
3.10
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.00
47.06%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
54.63
32.60%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.46
-3.15%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
53.49
1.38%
4
86.72
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
47.56
35.80%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
10.34
17.90%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
5.89
-6.12%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
4.09
9.65%
5
74.39
0.76%
7.72
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
7 Nov 20259.08
10.92
20.22%
8
24.09
1.07%
4.38
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.56
3.04%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
11.65
-8.41%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
8.11
-16.22%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
10.94
-0.05%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
43.12
-0.75%
8
90.19
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.05
60.10%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.27
-0.10%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
105.64
38.22%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.71
-3.13%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2701-2730 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Aug 2024
Exit
LMFA NASDAQ · LM Funding America Inc
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.93%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 4.05
16 Aug 2024
Exit
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-28.85%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 5.20
16 Aug 2024
Exit
MCHX NASDAQ · Marchex Inc
2.05
Reversal Risk Warning
8.47%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 1.89
16 Aug 2024
Entry
MRCY NASDAQ · Mercury Systems Inc
40.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.77 · ROC 1.27% · RS 6.39
16 Aug 2024
Entry
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
5.21
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 75.31 · ROC 5.59% · RS 19.61
16 Aug 2024
Entry
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
19.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.21 · ROC 1.95% · RS 25.91
16 Aug 2024
Entry
SDA NASDAQ · SunCar Technology Group Inc.
9.89
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.18 · ROC 1.90% · RS 1.97
16 Aug 2024
Entry
VRAX NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
53.25
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.27 · ROC 3.20% · RS 8.55
16 Aug 2024
Entry
WASH NASDAQ · Washington Trust Bancorp Inc
26.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.77 · ROC 0.47% · RS 1.81
16 Aug 2024
Entry
WSBF NASDAQ · Waterstone Financial Inc
13.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.15 · ROC 1.12% · RS 3.65
9 Aug 2024
Entry
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
144.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.40 · ROC 4.66% · RS 17.40
9 Aug 2024
Entry
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
5.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 26.72 · ROC 2.93% · RS 16.60
9 Aug 2024
Entry
BALY NYSE · Bally's Corp
17.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.56 · ROC 3.82% · RS 22.25
9 Aug 2024
Exit
BILI NASDAQ · Bilibili Inc
13.86
20% entry drawdown
-23.59%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 18.14
9 Aug 2024
Entry
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
6.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.35 · ROC 2.80% · RS 13.09
9 Aug 2024
Entry
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.85 · ROC 0.96% · RS 5.13
9 Aug 2024
Entry
EBC NASDAQ · Eastern Bankshares Inc
14.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.45 · ROC 1.82% · RS 4.34
9 Aug 2024
Entry
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
1.16
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 79.08 · ROC 1.32% · RS 6.33
9 Aug 2024
Entry
FIBK NASDAQ · First Interstate BancSystem Inc
25.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.48 · ROC 0.50% · RS 1.40
9 Aug 2024
Entry
FMAO NASDAQ · Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc
22.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.28 · ROC 1.20% · RS 6.64
9 Aug 2024
Exit
HUT NASDAQ · Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
11.97
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 15.17
9 Aug 2024
Exit
IDN NASDAQ · Intellicheck Mobilisa Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-29.11%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 2.92
9 Aug 2024
Exit
MITK NASDAQ · Mitek Systems Inc
8.42
20% entry drawdown
-34.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 12.81
9 Aug 2024
Entry
MKC NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
74.13
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 72.72 · ROC 1.89% · RS 0.71
9 Aug 2024
Exit
MOGU NYSE · MOGU Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown
-23.32%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 2.83
9 Aug 2024
Exit
NCTY NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
5.76
20% entry drawdown
-34.02%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 8.73
9 Aug 2024
Exit
ONFO NASDAQ · Onfolio Holdings Inc
0.76
20% entry drawdown
-24.74%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 1.01
9 Aug 2024
Entry
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 87.89 · ROC 2.39% · RS 3.59
9 Aug 2024
Entry
PSNL NASDAQ · Personalis Inc
3.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.00 · ROC 15.26% · RS 92.60
9 Aug 2024
Exit
REFR NASDAQ · Research Frontiers Incorporated
2.31
Reversal Risk Warning
45.28%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 1.59