View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc
22 May 20263.66
4.68
27.87%
Buy
0.08
-
-
NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp
15 May 20267.62
8.39
10.13%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
24 Jul 20261.77
1.60
-9.60%
Buy
0.13
-
-
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
12 Sep 202542.36
85.67
102.24%
Buy
1.47
-
-
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
22 May 20262.99
4.01
34.11%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
27 Mar 20269.20
18.62
102.39%
Buy
0.34
-
-
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
29 Aug 20258.78
15.29
74.15%
Buy
0.47
-
-
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
7 Nov 20256.40
12.04
88.13%
Buy
1.27
-
-
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
22 Aug 20252.44
3.98
63.45%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
20 Feb 20265.48
6.72
22.63%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
2 May 202516.97
32.89
93.81%
Buy
0.20
-
-
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
31 Jul 202698.79
98.79
New Entry week
Buy
0.36
-
-
NIO NYSE · Nio Inc Class A ADR
1 Aug 20255.01
4.88
-2.59%
Buy
1.63
-
-
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
3 Jul 202644.09
41.71
-5.40%
Buy
0.29
-
-
NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.
17 Apr 20266.95
7.71
10.94%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.
1 May 202610.19
10.30
1.08%
Buy
2.46
-
-
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
30 Jan 20261.49
3.31
122.15%
Buy
0.18
-
-
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
11 Jul 20251.58
1.50
-5.06%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
24 Oct 202514.96
13.60
-9.07%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
12 Dec 202521.82
21.15
-3.07%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock
22 May 20263.60
3.01
-16.39%
Buy
0.33
-
-
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
5 Jun 20269.91
11.90
20.08%
Buy
0.05
-
-
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
30 May 2025123.82
142.55
15.13%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
22 May 2026102.13
111.23
8.91%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
17 Jul 20269.26
9.00
-2.81%
Buy
0.13
-
-
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
26 Sep 20255.25
9.51
81.11%
Buy
0.56
-
-
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.22
3.15
41.89%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
22 May 202697.73
128.93
31.92%
Buy
1.28
-
-
NSP NYSE · Insperity Inc
8 May 202632.02
50.61
58.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
NSSC NASDAQ · NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
16 May 202527.30
37.08
35.82%
Buy
0.11
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8701-8730 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Feb 2024
Exit
NCLH NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
16.26
20% entry drawdown
-20.14%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 20.36
16 Feb 2024
Entry
NVDA NASDAQ · NVIDIA Corporation
72.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.84
16 Feb 2024
Entry
OCGN NASDAQ · Ocugen Inc
0.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
16 Feb 2024
Entry
OPRT NASDAQ · Oportun Financial Corp
3.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PESI NASDAQ · Perma-Fix Environmental Svcs Inc
8.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PLMR NASDAQ · Palomar Holdings Inc
74.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PRCH NASDAQ · Porch Group Inc
3.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
16 Feb 2024
Entry
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02
16 Feb 2024
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
72.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.15%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 94.93
16 Feb 2024
Entry
RPRX NASDAQ · Royalty Pharma Plc
28.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.53
16 Feb 2024
Exit
SAFT NASDAQ · Safety Insurance Group Inc
77.62
Reversal Risk Warning
25.27%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 61.96
16 Feb 2024
Entry
SLQT NYSE · Selectquote Inc
1.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.64
16 Feb 2024
Entry
SMFG NYSE · Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc
9.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
16 Feb 2024
Exit
TAL NYSE · TAL Education Group
14.17
Reversal Risk Warning
77.13%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 8.00
16 Feb 2024
Entry
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
16 Feb 2024
Exit
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
22.88
20% entry drawdown
-22.07%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 29.36
16 Feb 2024
Entry
TRVI NASDAQ · Trevi Therapeutics Inc
2.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
16 Feb 2024
Exit
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.19
20% entry drawdown
-29.06%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 36.92
16 Feb 2024
Entry
VEON NASDAQ · VEON Ltd
23.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
16 Feb 2024
Entry
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
16 Feb 2024
Exit
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
12.46
20% entry drawdown
-20.60%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 15.70
16 Feb 2024
Entry
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
29.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
9 Feb 2024
Entry
AMG NYSE · Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
155.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
9 Feb 2024
Exit
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
9.74
Reversal Risk Warning
86.23%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 5.23
9 Feb 2024
Entry
ASTE NASDAQ · Astec Industries Inc
34.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
9 Feb 2024
Exit
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
20.50
20% entry drawdown
-32.79%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 30.50
9 Feb 2024
Entry
AXON NASDAQ · Axon Enterprise Inc.
270.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
9 Feb 2024
Entry
BMR NASDAQ · Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
2.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
9 Feb 2024
Entry
CD NASDAQ · Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.
3.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
9 Feb 2024
Entry
CMMB NASDAQ · Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd DRC
2.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62