View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 931-960 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
THRM NASDAQ · Gentherm Inc
6 Jun 202527.05
40.58
50.02%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
28 Mar 202517.27
16.99
-1.62%
Buy
0.63
-
-
TJGC NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
10 Apr 20262.82
5.26
86.52%
Buy
0.67
-
-
TLF NASDAQ · Tandy Leather Factory Inc
6 Feb 20262.41
2.37
-1.69%
Buy
0.51
-
-
TLIH NASDAQ · Ten-League International Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1 May 20263.66
5.79
58.06%
Buy
0.29
-
-
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
26 Jun 20264.73
4.54
-4.02%
Buy
0.10
-
-
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
6 Mar 20267.52
9.89
31.52%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
13 Mar 20262.69
3.81
41.64%
Buy
0.32
-
-
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
15 May 20262.66
4.31
62.03%
Buy
0.92
-
-
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
31 Jul 20269.45
9.45
New Entry week
Buy
0.50
-
-
TNC NYSE · Tennant Company
24 Apr 202681.23
84.03
3.45%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TREX NYSE · Trex Company Inc
23 Jan 202642.55
43.36
1.90%
Buy
0.12
-
-
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
31 Jul 202698.13
98.13
New Entry week
Buy
1.47
-
-
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
1 May 202611.56
14.17
22.53%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TRNS NASDAQ · Transcat Inc
6 Feb 202676.33
85.37
11.84%
Buy
0.59
-
-
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
23 Jan 20266.21
5.84
-5.98%
Buy
1.79
-
-
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
19 Jun 202623.54
24.49
4.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
23 Jan 20265.65
5.92
4.71%
Buy
0.17
-
-
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
10 Jul 202630.99
33.16
7.00%
Buy
0.06
-
-
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
16 Jan 20262.29
2.65
15.72%
Buy
0.35
-
-
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
21 Feb 20251.85
2.80
51.19%
Buy
0.21
-
-
TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
12 Jun 202610.44
10.49
0.48%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
23 Jan 202610.20
10.37
1.67%
Buy
1.95
-
-
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
19 Dec 20257.85
7.22
-8.03%
Buy
0.14
-
-
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
25 Jul 202514.11
47.27
235.01%
Buy
1.16
-
-
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
18 Apr 20251.01
2.03
100.99%
Buy
0.25
-
-
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
13 Feb 202611.98
13.43
12.10%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc
1 May 2026335.50
309.60
-7.72%
Buy
0.13
-
-
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
6.49
28.01%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
6.65
25.71%
Buy
0.54
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8551-8580 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Mar 2024
Entry
MFG NYSE · Mizuho Financial Group Inc.
4.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
8 Mar 2024
Exit
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
15.68
20% entry drawdown
-23.44%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 20.48
8 Mar 2024
Exit
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
14.63
Reversal Risk Warning
357.19%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 3.20
8 Mar 2024
Entry
NTR NYSE · Nutrien Ltd
48.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
8 Mar 2024
Exit
PAC NYSE · Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB De CV ADR
131.31
20% entry drawdown
-20.15%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 164.44
8 Mar 2024
Exit
PAYO NASDAQ · Payoneer Global Inc
4.60
20% entry drawdown
-20.96%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 5.82
8 Mar 2024
Entry
RNGR NYSE · Ranger Energy Services Inc
10.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
8 Mar 2024
Entry
SLS NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
1.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80
8 Mar 2024
Exit
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
114.00
Reversal Risk Warning
169.28%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 42.34
8 Mar 2024
Entry
SNDA NYSE · Sonida Senior Living Inc
18.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.62
8 Mar 2024
Entry
TSM NYSE · Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
141.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.70
8 Mar 2024
Entry
UNM NYSE · Unum Group
47.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02
8 Mar 2024
Entry
VCTR NASDAQ · Victory Capital Holdings Inc
37.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
8 Mar 2024
Exit
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
18.12
20% entry drawdown
-38.56%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 29.49
8 Mar 2024
Entry
WB NASDAQ · Weibo Corp
6.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
8 Mar 2024
Entry
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
11.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
8 Mar 2024
Entry
ZTO NYSE · ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
18.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
1 Mar 2024
Entry
ACMR NASDAQ · Acm Research Inc
33.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.67
1 Mar 2024
Exit
AGO NYSE · Assured Guaranty Ltd
88.20
Reversal Risk Warning
40.78%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 62.65
1 Mar 2024
Entry
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
17.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
1 Mar 2024
Entry
AMAT NASDAQ · Applied Materials Inc
206.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.90
1 Mar 2024
Entry
APH NYSE · Amphenol Corporation
54.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.52
1 Mar 2024
Entry
ARLO NYSE · Arlo Technologies
11.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
1 Mar 2024
Exit
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
206.50
Reversal Risk Warning
22.55%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 168.51
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BAND NASDAQ · Bandwidth Inc
20.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BBAI NYSE · BigBearai Holdings Inc
3.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BCS NYSE · Barclays PLC ADR
8.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.90
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BWMX NYSE · Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
14.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
10.99
Reversal Risk Warning
122.02%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 4.95