Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1051-1067 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
12 Jun 20264.06
5.46
34.48%
Buy
0.01
-
-
YIBO NASDAQ · Planet Image International Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
22 May 20260.97
1.24
27.84%
Buy
0.65
-
-
YJ NASDAQ · Yunji Inc
20 Feb 20261.46
1.25
-14.38%
Buy
0.14
-
-
YORW NASDAQ · The York Water Company
14 Mar 202533.70
30.97
-8.10%
Buy
0.51
-
-
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3 Jul 20263.47
3.43
-1.15%
Buy
1.36
-
-
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202687.47
93.93
7.39%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
16 Jan 202620.16
31.44
55.95%
Buy
0.19
-
-
ZBRA NASDAQ · Zebra Technologies Corporation
1 May 2026227.08
293.82
29.39%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
13 Mar 202639.46
53.08
34.52%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
20 Jun 202514.18
21.60
52.33%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
16 May 20258.52
14.71
72.72%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
16 Aug 20243.08
3.27
6.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ZIP NYSE · Ziprecruiter Inc
1 May 20263.09
3.94
27.51%
Buy
0.31
-
-
ZLAB NASDAQ · Zai Lab Ltd
20 Feb 202620.04
18.27
-8.83%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
3 Jul 2026147.33
151.20
2.63%
Buy
0.40
-
-
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
26 Jun 20260.49
0.68
38.86%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ZVIA NYSE · Zevia Pbc
15 May 20261.33
1.70
27.82%
Buy
0.17
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8251-8280 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 May 2024
Exit
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
1.07
20% entry drawdown
-20.74%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 1.35
3 May 2024
Exit
ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
12.55
Reversal Risk Warning
62.56%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 7.72
3 May 2024
Entry
UTHR NASDAQ · United Therapeutics Corporation
262.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
3 May 2024
Entry
VMI NYSE · Valmont Industries Inc
242.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
26 Apr 2024
Exit
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
7.87
Reversal Risk Warning
214.80%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 2.50
26 Apr 2024
Entry
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
15.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.55
26 Apr 2024
Exit
BVS NASDAQ · Bioventus Inc
3.98
20% entry drawdown
-26.84%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 5.44
26 Apr 2024
Entry
BWLP NYSE · BW LPG Limited
9.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
26 Apr 2024
Exit
CDNA NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
7.56
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 9.53
26 Apr 2024
Entry
CECO NASDAQ · CECO Environmental Corp.
25.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
26 Apr 2024
Exit
DOGZ NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
6.16
20% entry drawdown
-23.48%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 8.05
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GBDC NASDAQ · Golub Capital BDC Inc
13.51
Reversal Risk Warning
28.54%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 10.51
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GILT NASDAQ · Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd
5.14
20% entry drawdown
-20.43%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 6.46
26 Apr 2024
Entry
GOOG NASDAQ · Alphabet Inc Class C
172.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
26 Apr 2024
Entry
GOOGL NASDAQ · Alphabet Inc Class A
170.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GOSS NASDAQ · Gossamer Bio Inc
0.67
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 0.85
26 Apr 2024
Entry
GSL NYSE · Global Ship Lease Inc
19.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
26 Apr 2024
Exit
HE NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
9.88
20% entry drawdown
-23.47%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 12.91
26 Apr 2024
Entry
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
5.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
26 Apr 2024
Exit
IMMX NASDAQ · Immix Biopharma Inc
2.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.22%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 2.67
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
16.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MOG-A NYSE · Moog Inc
166.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
26 Apr 2024
Entry
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
9.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Apr 2024
Exit
NSYS NASDAQ · Nortech Systems Incorporated
17.31
Reversal Risk Warning
92.33%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 9.00
26 Apr 2024
Entry
OUST NASDAQ · Ouster, Inc. Common Stock
8.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86
26 Apr 2024
Entry
POET NASDAQ · POET Technologies Inc
2.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
26 Apr 2024
Exit
QUCY NASDAQ · Quantum Cyber N.V.
32.72
20% entry drawdown
-23.54%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 42.80
26 Apr 2024
Entry
SAN NYSE · Banco Santander SA ADR
4.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
26 Apr 2024
Exit
SERA NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
10.75
Reversal Risk Warning
147.70%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 4.34
26 Apr 2024
Entry
SLSN NASDAQ · Solesence, Inc. Common Stock
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27