🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · NASDAQ

SMCZ

DEFIANCE DAILY TARGET 2X SHORT SMCI ETF

Inverse · Unclassified · Unclassified

Risk watch
Country Radar Open Chart
Recent price path SMCZ recent weekly close path 10 USD 12 Jun 2026
Weekly Return 41.1% latest completed week
4-Week Return -35.4% short momentum
Trend Gap -72.3% Trend negative
Fair Gap -77.8% vs fair value
Volume 2.5x 13.2M latest
Market Dynamics -0.71 negative and improving
Relative Strength -76.63 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity -11.7 composite radar score
Risk 66.0 -83.4% drawdown · 25.2% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
SMCZ weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
SMCZ Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Market Dynamics improving Volume 2.5x High risk score Tactical exposure

Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape.

Weak trend, selling pressure, or tactical exposure is elevated.

SMCZ sits in Inverse, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved 41.1%; the four-week move is -35.4%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is negative, volume is running at 2.5x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • Recovering from a weaker base with improving pressure
  • Volume confirmation is supporting the latest move
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • Leveraged or inverse ETF exposure needs tighter risk control
  • Negative trend with elevated volume
  • High weekly volatility raises position risk
  • Market Dynamics is still negative
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 CLSE · CBOE CONVERGENCE LONG/SHORT EQUITY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.9% 4W 3.7% Vol 1.6x 1.9% 2 WBIL · NYSE WBI BULLBEAR QUALITY 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.5% 4W 9.8% Vol 1.6x 2.5% 3 WBIL · NYSEARCA ABSOLUTE SHS TR WBI BULLBEAR QUALITY 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.5% 4W 9.8% Vol 1.6x 2.5% 4 NURE · CBOE NUVEEN SHORT-TERM REIT ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.7% 4W 10.1% Vol 1.4x 1.7% 5 BTCZ · CBOE T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week -11.2% 4W 49.0% Vol 1.7x -11.2% 6 WBIF · NYSE WBI BULLBEAR VALUE 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.9% 4W 8.8% Vol 1.7x 2.9% 7 WBIF · NYSEARCA ABSOLUTE SHS TR WBI BULLBEAR VALUE 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.9% 4W 8.8% Vol 1.7x 2.9% 8 ETHD · NYSE ProShares UltraShort Ether ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week -12.3% 4W 64.3% Vol 0.8x -12.3% 9 ETHD · NYSEARCA PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week -12.3% 4W 64.3% Vol 0.8x -12.3% 10 WBIG · NYSE WBI BULLBEAR YIELD 3000 ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.4% 4W 7.0% Vol 2.5x 2.4%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

21 Nov 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 53 USD · 24.2%
6 Feb 2026 Broke below Trend Line 33 USD · -37.2%
13 Feb 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 41 USD · 24.7%
20 Feb 2026 Broke below Trend Line 36 USD · -13.5%
20 Mar 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 61 USD · 63.6%
10 Apr 2026 Broke below Trend Line 35 USD · -19.6%
SMCZ

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
20 Jun 2025 49 USD - 91 USD % - - 13.4M
27 Jun 2025 42 USD - 87 USD -15.7% - - 31.9M
3 Jul 2025 39 USD - 83 USD -5.3% - - 13.7M
11 Jul 2025 38 USD - 80 USD -3.8% - - 13.5M
18 Jul 2025 34 USD - 77 USD -11.1% - - 21.1M
25 Jul 2025 30 USD - 74 USD -10.7% - - 26.1M
1 Aug 2025 26 USD - 71 USD -12.2% - - 57.5M
8 Aug 2025 39 USD - 70 USD 45.6% - - 51.8M
15 Aug 2025 37 USD - 68 USD -4.1% - - 28.1M
22 Aug 2025 39 USD - 66 USD 5.5% - - 40.2M
29 Aug 2025 43 USD - 65 USD 10.4% - - 45.7M
5 Sep 2025 45 USD - 64 USD 5.1% - - 40.2M
12 Sep 2025 36 USD - 63 USD -20.9% - - 53.3M
19 Sep 2025 34 USD - 62 USD -3.7% - - 37.0M
26 Sep 2025 34 USD - 61 USD -0.5% - - 44.3M
3 Oct 2025 26 USD - 59 USD -24.4% - - 46.1M
10 Oct 2025 24 USD - 58 USD -7.6% - - 61.1M
17 Oct 2025 24 USD - 57 USD 1.0% - - 57.8M
24 Oct 2025 27 USD - 56 USD 12.6% 0.27 - 56.7M
31 Oct 2025 23 USD 55 USD 55 USD -15.9% 0.30 - 45.6M
7 Nov 2025 37 USD 51 USD 54 USD 60.7% 0.48 - 54.2M
14 Nov 2025 42 USD 48 USD 54 USD 15.1% 0.67 - 42.2M
21 Nov 2025 53 USD 46 USD 54 USD 24.2% 0.85 - 28.5M
28 Nov 2025 47 USD 44 USD 54 USD -11.2% 1.17 - 9.4M
5 Dec 2025 44 USD 41 USD 53 USD -6.0% 1.21 - 14.0M
12 Dec 2025 50 USD 41 USD 53 USD 12.7% 1.27 - 3.8M
19 Dec 2025 52 USD 40 USD 53 USD 5.0% 1.32 - 351.6K
26 Dec 2025 53 USD 40 USD 53 USD 2.3% 1.33 - 200.3K
2 Jan 2026 51 USD 39 USD 53 USD -3.8% 1.37 - 322.6K
9 Jan 2026 53 USD 39 USD 53 USD 4.4% 1.40 - 280.4K
16 Jan 2026 43 USD 39 USD 53 USD -20.0% 1.32 - 933.7K
23 Jan 2026 45 USD 39 USD 53 USD 5.0% 1.21 - 526.1K
30 Jan 2026 53 USD 39 USD 53 USD 17.3% 1.18 - 358.3K
6 Feb 2026 33 USD 39 USD 52 USD -37.2% 0.79 - 2.4M
13 Feb 2026 41 USD 40 USD 52 USD 24.7% 0.47 - 852.3K
20 Feb 2026 36 USD 40 USD 52 USD -13.5% 0.10 - 709.2K
27 Feb 2026 35 USD 40 USD 51 USD -3.0% -0.35 - 951.9K
6 Mar 2026 36 USD 40 USD 51 USD 3.7% -0.44 - 990.7K
13 Mar 2026 37 USD 40 USD 51 USD 3.5% -0.50 - 455.1K
20 Mar 2026 61 USD 41 USD 51 USD 63.6% -0.26 - 2.3M
27 Mar 2026 50 USD 41 USD 51 USD -17.2% -0.07 - 4.7M
2 Apr 2026 44 USD 41 USD 51 USD -12.9% 0.03 -19.43 839.5K
10 Apr 2026 35 USD 41 USD 50 USD -19.6% 0.04 -34.58 801.3K
17 Apr 2026 27 USD 41 USD 50 USD -23.0% -0.27 -49.23 1.2M
24 Apr 2026 25 USD 40 USD 50 USD -9.5% -0.51 -53.02 1.5M
1 May 2026 28 USD 40 USD 49 USD 12.2% -0.68 -45.36 811.4K
8 May 2026 13 USD 40 USD 49 USD -54.4% -0.75 -74.76 9.2M
15 May 2026 16 USD 40 USD 48 USD 24.5% -0.73 -67.78 3.4M
22 May 2026 11 USD 39 USD 47 USD -27.2% -0.74 -76.03 3.2M
29 May 2026 6 USD 38 USD 47 USD -45.3% -0.73 -86.78 10.8M
5 Jun 2026 7 USD 38 USD 46 USD 14.9% -0.73 -83.58 13.1M
12 Jun 2026 10 USD 36 USD 45 USD 41.1% -0.71 -76.63 13.2M