๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ETF Radar ยท NYSEARCA

TMV

DIREXION DAILY 20+ YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF

Inverse ยท Unclassified ยท Unclassified

Stable uptrend
Recent price path TMV recent weekly close path 45 USD 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Return 5.3% latest completed week
4-Week Return 3.9% short momentum
Trend Gap 14.9% Trend positive
Fair Gap 25.7% vs fair value
Volume 1.3x 5.3M latest
Market Dynamics 1.29 positive and improving
Relative Strength 10.28 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity 45.7 composite radar score
Risk 18.0 0.0% drawdown ยท 3.0% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
TMV weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
TMV Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Above Trend Line Market Dynamics improving Positive relative strength Tactical exposure

Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction.

Trend, drawdown, and follow-through are constructive.

TMV sits in Inverse, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved 5.3%; the four-week move is 3.9%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is positive, volume is running at 1.3x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • Price is above fair value with a positive trend setup
  • Recovering from a weaker base with improving pressure
  • Relative strength is positive versus its ETF peer tape
  • Composite opportunity score is in the stronger part of the radar
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • Leveraged or inverse ETF exposure needs tighter risk control
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 SDP ยท NYSEARCA PROSHARES ULTRASHORT UTILITIES ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.8% 4W 9.4% Vol 2.5x 2.8% 2 TYO ยท NYSEARCA DIREXION DAILY 7-10 YEAR TREASURY BEAR 3X ETF ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 4.2% 4W 6.6% Vol 0.8x 4.2% 3 SVIX ยท CBOE 1x Short VIX Futures ETF ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Leveraged or inverse exposure; useful for tactical pressure, but risk can move quickly. Week -2.1% 4W 6.1% Vol 0.7x -2.1% 4 KOLD ยท NYSEARCA PROSHARES TRUST II ULTRASHORT BLOOMBERG NATURAL GAS(R/S) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Leveraged or inverse exposure; useful for tactical pressure, but risk can move quickly. Week 5.2% 4W -1.6% Vol 0.7x 5.2% 5 SVXY ยท CBOE ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF -1x Shares ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Leveraged or inverse exposure; useful for tactical pressure, but risk can move quickly. Week -1.0% 4W 3.4% Vol 0.8x -1.0% 6 TBX ยท NYSEARCA PROSHARES TRUST SHORT 7-10YR TREAS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.4% 4W 2.3% Vol 1.2x 1.4% 7 DRV ยท NYSEARCA DIREXION DAILY REAL ESTATE BEAR 3X ETF ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Fresh Market Dynamics buy signal; check whether price follow-through is confirming the setup. Week 3.9% 4W 14.2% Vol 0.9x 3.9% 8 VYLD ยท NYSEARCA INVERSE VIX SHORT-TERM FUTURES ETNS DUE MARCH 22, 2045 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Leveraged or inverse exposure; useful for tactical pressure, but risk can move quickly. Week -0.3% 4W 1.6% Vol 0.7x -0.3% 9 TBF ยท NYSEARCA PROSHARES TRUST SHORT 20+ YR TREASURY USD ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.7% 4W 1.4% Vol 1.2x 1.7% 10 JETD ยท NYSEARCA BANK OF MONTREAL MAX AIRLINES -3X INVERSE LEVERAGED ETNS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States ยท Inverse Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape. Week 8.7% 4W 41.1% Vol 0.7x 8.7%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

12 Dec 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 37 USD ยท 3.1%
26 Dec 2025 Broke below Trend Line 36 USD ยท -0.6%
2 Jan 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 37 USD ยท 2.6%
13 Feb 2026 Broke below Trend Line 34 USD ยท -7.0%
13 Mar 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 37 USD ยท 6.9%
19 Jun 2026 Broke below Trend Line 37 USD ยท -3.1%
3 Jul 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 38 USD ยท 5.5%
TMV

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
19 Sep 2025 35 USD 37 USD 33 USD % -0.71 -13.85 5.5M
26 Sep 2025 35 USD 37 USD 33 USD 0.7% -0.90 -13.15 4.0M
3 Oct 2025 34 USD 37 USD 33 USD -2.1% -0.96 -15.89 4.8M
10 Oct 2025 33 USD 37 USD 33 USD -4.0% -1.00 -17.12 6.1M
17 Oct 2025 32 USD 37 USD 33 USD -1.8% -1.01 -19.83 6.1M
24 Oct 2025 32 USD 37 USD 33 USD -0.6% -1.02 -21.54 5.0M
31 Oct 2025 34 USD 37 USD 33 USD 4.0% -1.00 -18.68 6.4M
7 Nov 2025 34 USD 37 USD 33 USD 1.5% -0.92 -15.95 5.0M
14 Nov 2025 35 USD 37 USD 33 USD 2.7% -0.74 -13.56 5.5M
21 Nov 2025 34 USD 37 USD 33 USD -1.8% -0.56 -13.25 6.3M
28 Nov 2025 34 USD 36 USD 33 USD -2.0% -0.51 -17.94 4.5M
5 Dec 2025 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD 6.1% -0.31 -13.23 4.9M
12 Dec 2025 37 USD 36 USD 33 USD 3.1% 0.02 -9.90 6.2M
19 Dec 2025 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD -1.4% 0.33 -11.00 5.1M
26 Dec 2025 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD -0.6% 0.60 -12.42 2.7M
2 Jan 2026 37 USD 36 USD 33 USD 2.6% 0.71 -8.86 4.5M
9 Jan 2026 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD -2.8% 0.59 -12.23 4.9M
16 Jan 2026 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD 0.7% 0.61 -10.91 5.5M
23 Jan 2026 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD -0.2% 0.84 -10.44 7.1M
30 Jan 2026 37 USD 36 USD 33 USD 2.7% 0.96 -8.06 5.7M
6 Feb 2026 36 USD 36 USD 33 USD -2.1% 1.02 -9.57 5.7M
13 Feb 2026 34 USD 35 USD 33 USD -7.0% 0.71 -14.52 5.1M
20 Feb 2026 34 USD 35 USD 33 USD 1.1% 0.22 -14.24 3.0M
27 Feb 2026 33 USD 35 USD 33 USD -4.0% -0.32 -17.08 3.3M
6 Mar 2026 35 USD 35 USD 34 USD 6.9% -0.55 -9.27 5.6M
13 Mar 2026 37 USD 35 USD 34 USD 6.9% -0.38 -1.35 5.3M
20 Mar 2026 38 USD 35 USD 34 USD 2.5% -0.06 2.99 5.1M
27 Mar 2026 39 USD 35 USD 34 USD 0.9% 0.46 6.41 6.8M
3 Apr 2026 37 USD 35 USD 34 USD -4.9% 0.51 -1.96 4.0M
10 Apr 2026 37 USD 35 USD 34 USD 1.2% 0.45 -3.68 3.1M
17 Apr 2026 37 USD 35 USD 34 USD -1.7% 0.30 -8.80 2.9M
24 Apr 2026 37 USD 35 USD 34 USD 1.0% 0.04 -7.98 2.8M
1 May 2026 38 USD 36 USD 34 USD 3.0% 0.12 -5.71 2.7M
8 May 2026 38 USD 36 USD 34 USD -1.4% 0.16 -8.66 2.9M
15 May 2026 41 USD 36 USD 34 USD 8.8% 0.55 -0.46 3.1M
22 May 2026 40 USD 36 USD 34 USD -3.3% 0.99 -3.90 6.1M
29 May 2026 38 USD 36 USD 35 USD -3.5% 1.05 -8.10 2.7M
5 Jun 2026 39 USD 37 USD 35 USD 1.5% 1.22 -3.85 3.2M
12 Jun 2026 38 USD 37 USD 35 USD -2.3% 0.94 -6.08 3.5M
19 Jun 2026 37 USD 37 USD 35 USD -3.1% 0.28 -9.31 2.3M
26 Jun 2026 36 USD 37 USD 35 USD -2.0% -0.16 -8.57 2.5M
3 Jul 2026 38 USD 37 USD 35 USD 5.5% -0.52 -5.30 2.8M
10 Jul 2026 39 USD 37 USD 35 USD 4.0% -0.62 -2.49 1.7M
17 Jul 2026 40 USD 37 USD 35 USD 0.3% -0.39 -0.23 2.2M
24 Jul 2026 41 USD 37 USD 35 USD 4.7% 0.06 5.29 2.1M
31 Jul 2026 43 USD 37 USD 35 USD 3.8% 0.60 8.13 4.9M
7 Aug 2026 42 USD 38 USD 35 USD -2.7% 0.92 1.79 4.8M
14 Aug 2026 43 USD 38 USD 35 USD 2.8% 1.27 4.42 5.4M
21 Aug 2026 43 USD 38 USD 35 USD 0.1% 1.45 6.04 7.9M
28 Aug 2026 42 USD 38 USD 35 USD -2.8% 1.27 2.78 4.8M
4 Sep 2026 42 USD 38 USD 35 USD 1.5% 1.26 4.17 4.9M
11 Sep 2026 45 USD 39 USD 36 USD 5.3% 1.29 10.28 5.3M

Evidence context