Predictions

Events

Predictions

Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Read Relevant event markets with active probability movement. Brazil · 3 radar items · updated 8 Jun, 21:13

Watch

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

0.2% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.2%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 73/100.

24h +0.0 pts

7d +0.0 pts

Volume 9.5M

Quality 73/100

Insight Market

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Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

0.0% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 73/100.

24h +0.0 pts

7d +0.0 pts

Volume 9.4M

Quality 73/100

Insight Market

Watch

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

5.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 5.5%. 24h move -3.0 pts. 7d move -3.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.