Events

Predictions

Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Read Relevant event markets with active probability movement. Brazil · 4 radar items · updated 24 Jul, 08:01
Probability Surge

Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

49.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 49.5%. 24h move +20.5 pts. 7d move +20.5 pts. Data quality 43/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

24h +20.5 pts
7d +20.5 pts
Volume 10K
Quality 43/100
Insight Market
Probability Surge

Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Pará election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

7.4% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 7.4%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.6 pts. Data quality 38/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

24h +5.0 pts
7d +5.6 pts
Volume 895
Quality 38/100
Insight Market