Events

Predictions

Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Read Relevant event markets with active probability movement. New Zealand · 2 radar items · updated 8 Jun, 21:14

Probability Surge

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

51.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 51.5%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move +10.0 pts. Data quality 35/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

24h +3.0 pts

7d +10.0 pts

Volume 978

Quality 35/100

Insight Market

Probability Surge

Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

46.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 46.5%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +2.0 pts. Data quality 30/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

24h +5.0 pts

7d +2.0 pts

Volume 97

Quality 30/100

Insight Market