Ticker Options Intelligence

ACI options intelligence

Albertsons Companies options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 07:07 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ACI currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 6.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.35

Call-side skew

Trend fit 3

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.0%

RS -36.8

Expected move 6.1%
Put-call volume 0.35
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.24
Max pain 11.50
Underlying 11.03
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 532

Research Brief

ACI has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 10.35–11.71; The largest call open-interest concentration is 12.50; the largest put concentration is 11.00. The most active strike by current volume is 11.50.

Priced range10.35–11.71
Call concentration12.50
Put concentration11.00
Max pain reference11.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 10.35 to 11.71. Max pain at 11.50 sits inside that range, 4.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
10.3511.03 ± 0.6811.71
Confirmation level

A close beyond 11.71 or below 10.35 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 56/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure56 × 42%
+23.6

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation40 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement3 × 26%
+0.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility41 × 10%
+4.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 12.50; the largest put concentration is 11.00. The most active strike by current volume is 11.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
4
7.00-36.5%
0
6
8.00-27.5%
0
54
9.00-18.4%
0
7
9.50-13.9%
10
30
10.00-9.3%
33
10
10.50-4.8%
3
814
11.00-0.3%
45
24
11.504.3%
519
27
12.008.8%
1164
0
12.5013.3%
1372
13
13.0017.9%
262
96
14.0026.9%
0
0
16.0045.1%
54
8
16.5049.6%
0
0
21.0090.4%
10
0
22.0099.5%
9
1
23.00108.5%
47
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.61× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.24 7 Aug 7d
0.34 14 Aug 14d
0.44 21 Aug 21d
0.31 28 Aug 28d
0.32 4 Sep 35d
0.38 11 Sep 42d
0.36 18 Sep 49d
0.40 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

9
10
10
11
11
12
12
13
13
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
532 / 532
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

89/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $121650 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+56
1W price+5.0%
Call premium83%
Put premium17%
Notional split C 83% / P 17% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 3/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 596 contracts traded, $50525 estimated gross traded notional, and 42% of visible notional.
$50525
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 88 contracts traded, $16480 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$16480
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 80 contracts traded, $12200 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$12200
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 224 contracts traded, $9998 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$9998
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 128 contracts traded, $6250 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$6250

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close11.58
1W+5.0%
RS-36.8
Fair value-38.2%
Options pressure56
Speculation40
Volatility41
Trend fit3

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.1% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.24 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.35 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:31 Bullish
Pressure 73
Move 6.0%
30 Jul 10:30 Volatility
Pressure 76
Move 9.7%
30 Jul 21:38 Bullish
Pressure 73
Move 5.9%
31 Jul 13:05 Bullish
Pressure 82
Move 5.9%
31 Jul 14:24 Bullish
Pressure 73
Move 3.7%
31 Jul 15:37 Bullish
Pressure 57
Move 5.9%
31 Jul 16:41 Bullish
Pressure 59
Move 5.9%
31 Jul 16:58 Bullish
Pressure 59
Move 5.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike3.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike4.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike6.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike7.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 22 · OI 4
Strike8.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 6
Strike9.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 54
Strike9.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 7

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.24
Put-call0.25
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.34
Put-call3.06
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.44
Put-call3.58
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.32
Put-call0.61

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.24
Skew-0.12
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.32
Skew-0.05
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.32
Skew-0.03
28 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.31
Skew-0.17
4 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.11
Skew-0.28

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractACI270115C00012000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike12.00
Volume338
OI1756
IV0.38
ContractACI260807C00011500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike11.50
Volume232
OI519
IV0.24
ContractACI260807C00012000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike12.00
Volume172
OI1164
IV0.36
ContractACI260814P00011500
SidePut
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike11.50
Volume91
OI360
IV0.33
ContractACI261016C00012000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike12.00
Volume82
OI3577
IV0.40
ContractACI270115C00011000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike11.00
Volume80
OI388
IV0.37
ContractACI260807P00011500
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike11.50
Volume67
OI24
IV0.30
ContractACI260828P00011000
SidePut
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike11.00
Volume63
OI11
IV0.31