Ticker Options Intelligence

CDE options intelligence

Coeur Mining Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 03:05 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CDE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 1.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 1.3%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.22

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.4%

RS -21.5

Expected move 1.3%
Put-call volume 0.22
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.42
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 15.13
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 632

Research Brief

CDE has a bullish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 14.93–15.33; The largest call open-interest concentration is 16.00; the largest put concentration is 14.00. The most active strike by current volume is 14.50.

Priced range14.93–15.33
Call concentration16.00
Put concentration14.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 31 Jul

Options imply 14.93 to 15.33. Max pain at 15.00 sits inside that range, 0.9% below spot.

Spot Max pain
14.9315.13 ± 0.2015.33
Confirmation level

A close beyond 15.33 or below 14.93 at the 31 Jul expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 72/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure72 × 42%
+30.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility34 × 10%
+3.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score42.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 16.00; the largest put concentration is 14.00. The most active strike by current volume is 14.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
70
11.00-27.3%
44
173
12.50-17.4%
8
215
13.50-10.8%
227
1484
14.00-7.5%
778
666
14.50-4.2%
695
1104
15.00-0.9%
834
249
15.502.4%
2030
1349
16.005.8%
2268
154
16.509.1%
1275
53
17.0012.4%
1518
27
17.5015.7%
382
69
18.0019.0%
541
4
18.5022.3%
264
3
19.0025.6%
915
3
20.0032.2%
1945
1
22.0045.4%
172
5
23.0052.0%
165
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.60× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.42 31 Jul 0d
0.89 7 Aug 7d
0.79 14 Aug 14d
0.77 21 Aug 21d
0.75 28 Aug 28d
0.74 4 Sep 35d
0.72 11 Sep 42d
0.74 18 Sep 49d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

13
13
14
14
15
15
16
16
17
17
18
18
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
632 / 632
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

94/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.6M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+72
1W price+5.4%
Call premium75%
Put premium25%
Notional split C 75% / P 25% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 4314 contracts traded, $428442 estimated gross traded notional, and 27% of visible notional.
$428442
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 1981 contracts traded, $205062 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$205062
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 1425 contracts traded, $121018 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$121018
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 409 contracts traded, $116955 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$116955
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 107 contracts traded, $93860 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$93860

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close15.13
1W+5.4%
RS-21.5
Fair value+60.6%
Options pressure72
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 1.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.42 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.22 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:20 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 5.9%
30 Jul 10:14 Volatility
Pressure 69
Move 5.5%
31 Jul 03:31 Volatility
Pressure 71
Move 4.5%
31 Jul 05:06 Bullish
Pressure 62
Move 4.5%
1 Aug 02:05 Bullish
Pressure 72
Move 1.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike5.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 15
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike10.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 52
Puts · V 2 · OI 1
Strike10.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 95
Strike11.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 44
Puts · V 2 · OI 70
Strike11.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike12.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 4
Puts · V 1 · OI 13
Strike12.50
Calls · V 4 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 173
Strike13.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 12
Puts · V 0 · OI 46

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.42
Put-call0.45
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.89
Put-call0.24
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.79
Put-call0.32
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts70
Avg IV0.77
Put-call0.41
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.75
Put-call0.20

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.38
Skew-0.10
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.84
Put IV0.85
Skew0.01
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.80
Put IV0.81
Skew0.01
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.76
Put IV0.75
Skew-0.01
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.77
Put IV0.74
Skew-0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCDE270219C00030000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike30.00
Volume1500
OI17
IV0.70
ContractCDE260911C00016500
SideCall
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike16.50
Volume1265
OI-
IV0.73
ContractCDE261218C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume1149
OI962
IV0.73
ContractCDE260828C00015500
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike15.50
Volume680
OI399
IV0.75
ContractCDE260731C00014500
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike14.50
Volume530
OI695
IV0.37
ContractCDE260807C00014000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike14.00
Volume520
OI49
IV0.87
ContractCDE261120C00020000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike20.00
Volume482
OI7750
IV0.73
ContractCDE260814C00017500
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume369
OI155
IV0.80