Ticker Options Intelligence

DEA options intelligence

Eerly Govt Ppty Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 18:26 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

DEA currently carries bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.07.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 6.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.07

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.34

Call-side skew

Trend fit 40

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.9%

RS 5.9

Expected move 6.4%
Put-call volume 0.34
Volume / OI 0.07
Reference IV 0.70
Max pain 25.00
Underlying 25.33
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 31

Research Brief

DEA has a bullish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 23.71–26.95; The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 22.50. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00.

Priced range23.71–26.95
Call concentration25.00
Put concentration22.50
Max pain reference25.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 23.71 to 26.95. Max pain at 25.00 sits inside that range, 1.3% below spot.

Spot Max pain
23.7125.33 ± 1.6226.95
Confirmation level

A close beyond 26.95 or below 23.71 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 57/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure57 × 42%
+23.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation10 × 22%
+2.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement40 × 26%
+10.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility74 × 10%
+7.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 22.50. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
42
20.00-21.0%
2
138
22.50-11.2%
5
23
25.00-1.3%
163
3
30.0018.4%
3
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.78× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.70 21 Aug 21d
0.49 18 Sep 49d
0.44 18 Dec 140d
0.39 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

23
25
30
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes97%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
31 / 31
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

78/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $84666 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+57
1W price-0.9%
Call premium93%
Put premium7%
Notional split C 93% / P 7% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.07 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 40/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 150 contracts traded, $69765 estimated gross traded notional, and 82% of visible notional.
$69765
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 14 contracts traded, $4460 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$4460
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 29 contracts traded, $3673 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$3673
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 18 contracts traded, $2765 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$2765
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $1245 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$1245

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close25.33
1W-0.9%
RS5.9
Fair value+5.7%
Options pressure57
Speculation10
Volatility74
Trend fit40

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.70 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.34 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.07 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:11 Bearish
Pressure -45
Move 11.0%
30 Jul 10:57 Bullish
Pressure 88
Move 9.0%
30 Jul 17:10 Volatility
Pressure 54
Move 8.8%
30 Jul 19:47 Volatility
Pressure 57
Move 8.7%
31 Jul 03:07 Bullish
Pressure 87
Move 8.4%
31 Jul 17:26 Bullish
Pressure 57
Move 6.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 2
Puts · V 1 · OI 42
Strike22.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 5
Puts · V 4 · OI 138
Strike25.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 163
Puts · V 8 · OI 23
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 3

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV0.70
Put-call1.63
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts9
Avg IV0.49
Put-call1.00
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV0.44
Put-call0.21
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV0.39
Put-call0.13

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.87
Skew0.34
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.33
Skew-0.02
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.39
Skew0.14
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.43
Skew0.17

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractDEA261218P00025000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI25
IV0.39
ContractDEA260821P00030000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.64
ContractDEA270319P00020000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.66
ContractDEA260918P00015000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.87
ContractDEA270319C00020000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike20.00
Volume69
OI95
IV0.32
ContractDEA261218C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume67
OI62
IV0.45
ContractDEA260918P00022500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike22.50
Volume21
OI107
IV0.45
ContractDEA270319C00025000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike25.00
Volume16
OI17
IV0.38