Ticker Options Intelligence

CSGP options intelligence

CoStar Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 37 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 12:38 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CSGP currently carries bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 12.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 12.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.53

Call-side skew

Trend fit 16

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +4.0%

RS -54.0

Expected move 12.0%
Put-call volume 0.53
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.64
Max pain 30.00
Underlying 28.76
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 304

Research Brief

CSGP has a bullish chain read with 37/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 25.31–32.21; The largest call open-interest concentration is 40.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00.

Priced range25.31–32.21
Call concentration40.00
Put concentration25.00
Max pain reference30.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 25.31 to 32.21. Max pain at 30.00 sits inside that range, 4.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
25.3128.76 ± 3.4532.21
Confirmation level

A close beyond 32.21 or below 25.31 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 37/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 37/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure37 × 42%
+15.5

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement16 × 26%
+4.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility85 × 10%
+8.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 40.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
86
17.50-39.2%
16
57
20.00-30.5%
0
323
22.50-21.8%
5
2310
25.00-13.1%
237
2303
30.004.3%
676
227
35.0021.7%
848
0
40.0039.1%
1998
2
45.0056.5%
21
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.08× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.64 21 Aug 21d
0.60 18 Sep 49d
0.61 16 Oct 77d
0.61 18 Dec 140d
0.60 15 Jan 168d
0.60 19 Mar 231d
0.60 17 Jun 321d
0.60 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

25
30
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
304 / 304
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

70/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $466965 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+37
1W price+4.0%
Call premium82%
Put premium18%
Notional split C 82% / P 18% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 16/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 864 contracts traded, $228360 estimated gross traded notional, and 49% of visible notional.
$228360
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 105 contracts traded, $144780 estimated gross traded notional, and 31% of visible notional.
$144780
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 96 contracts traded, $51915 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$51915
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 375 contracts traded, $11758 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$11758
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 21 contracts traded, $8975 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$8975

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close28.76
1W+4.0%
RS-54.0
Fair value-60.1%
Options pressure37
Speculation41
Volatility85
Trend fit16

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 12.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.64 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.53 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:24 Bullish
Pressure 43
Move 18.5%
30 Jul 10:20 Mixed
Pressure -16
Move 13.9%
31 Jul 10:10 Volatility
Pressure -34
Move 12.5%
1 Aug 11:38 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 12.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 16
Puts · V 2 · OI 86
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 57
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 100 · OI 323
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 237
Puts · V 273 · OI 2310
Strike30.00
Calls · V 65 · OI 676
Puts · V 11 · OI 2303
Strike35.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 848
Puts · V 10 · OI 227
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1998
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 21
Puts · V 0 · OI 2

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.64
Put-call5.91
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.60
Put-call2.55
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.61
Put-call0.08
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.61
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts58
Avg IV0.60
Put-call0.04

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.63
Put IV0.63
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.58
Put IV0.60
Skew0.02
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.57
Put IV0.60
Skew0.03
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.58
Put IV0.62
Skew0.04
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.58
Put IV0.61
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCSGP270115C00035000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike35.00
Volume751
OI632
IV0.58
ContractCSGP260821P00025000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume273
OI2310
IV0.63
ContractCSGP260821P00022500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume100
OI323
IV0.72
ContractCSGP260821C00030000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume65
OI676
IV0.62
ContractCSGP270319P00030000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike30.00
Volume65
OI27
IV0.59
ContractCSGP270115C00030000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike30.00
Volume56
OI194
IV0.58
ContractCSGP270115C00015000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike15.00
Volume50
OI107
IV0.75
ContractCSGP260918P00025000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume36
OI539
IV0.60