Ticker Options Intelligence

AMCX options intelligence

AMC Networks Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 36 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 16:46 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

AMCX currently carries mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 15.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.09.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 15.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.09

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.17

Balanced tape

Trend fit 93

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +14.4%

RS 21.9

Expected move 15.8%
Put-call volume 1.17
Volume / OI 0.09
Reference IV 1.07
Max pain 10.00
Underlying 9.79
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 33

Research Brief

AMCX has a mixed chain read with 36/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 8.24–11.34; The largest call open-interest concentration is 12.50; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50.

Priced range8.24–11.34
Call concentration12.50
Put concentration7.50
Max pain reference10.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 8.24 to 11.34. Max pain at 10.00 sits inside that range, 2.1% above spot.

Spot Max pain
8.249.79 ± 1.5511.34
Confirmation level

A close beyond 11.34 or below 8.24 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 36/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 0/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure0 × 42%
+0.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation10 × 22%
+2.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement93 × 26%
+24.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score36.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 12.50; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
136
7.50-23.4%
2
24
10.002.1%
55
0
12.5027.7%
955
0
15.0053.2%
20
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.47× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.07 21 Aug 22d
1.25 18 Sep 50d
0.81 18 Dec 141d
0.73 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

10
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

No independently verifiable option-expiry outcomes have matured yet. Legacy snapshots without a point-in-time market reference and repeated same-session snapshots are deliberately excluded.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes94%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v1.x legacy
Contracts
33 / 33
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

81/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $39520 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-0
1W price+14.4%
Call premium36%
Put premium64%
Notional split C 36% / P 64% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.09 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 93/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 7 Aug Matched earnings event is 6 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ATM
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 90 contracts traded, $17575 estimated gross traded notional, and 44% of visible notional.
$17575
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 14 contracts traded, $5160 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$5160
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 51 contracts traded, $2890 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$2890
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 110 contracts traded, $2420 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$2420
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 69 contracts traded, $2070 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$2070

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close11.20
1W+14.4%
RS21.9
Fair value+12.3%
Options pressure0
Speculation10
Volatility96
Trend fit93

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 15.8% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 1.07 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.17 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.09 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:28 Volatility
Pressure -92
Move 23.0%
30 Jul 11:12 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 25.5%
30 Jul 15:25 Bearish
Pressure -30
Move 14.0%
30 Jul 15:46 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 15.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike7.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 2
Puts · V 110 · OI 136
Strike10.00
Calls · V 20 · OI 55
Puts · V 0 · OI 24
Strike12.50
Calls · V 69 · OI 955
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 20
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.07
Put-call1.21
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts9
Avg IV1.25
Put-call0.07
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts13
Avg IV0.81
Put-call1.84
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts5
Avg IV0.73
Put-call7.14

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.73
Put IV1.34
Skew0.60
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.76
Skew0.14
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.68
Put IV0.66
Skew-0.02
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.70
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAMCX260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI24
IV0.82
ContractAMCX260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI20
IV1.68
ContractAMCX261218P00002500
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI10
IV3.57
ContractAMCX260918C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.90
ContractAMCX270319C00010000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.70
ContractAMCX270319C00020000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.95
ContractAMCX260918P00010000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractAMCX260918C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV4.27