Ticker Options Intelligence

BUD options intelligence

Anheuser Busch Inbev NV ADR options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 09:43 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

BUD currently carries bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.3%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.65

Call-side skew

Trend fit 70

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +5.9%

RS 14.5

Expected move 5.3%
Put-call volume 0.65
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.18
Max pain 84.00
Underlying 81.66
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 786

Research Brief

BUD has a bullish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 77.31–86.01; The largest call open-interest concentration is 84.00; the largest put concentration is 81.00. The most active strike by current volume is 87.00.

Priced range77.31–86.01
Call concentration84.00
Put concentration81.00
Max pain reference84.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 77.31 to 86.01. Max pain at 84.00 sits inside that range, 2.9% above spot.

Spot Max pain
77.3181.66 ± 4.3586.01
Confirmation level

A close beyond 86.01 or below 77.31 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 25/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure25 × 42%
+10.6

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement70 × 26%
+18.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility34 × 10%
+3.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 84.00; the largest put concentration is 81.00. The most active strike by current volume is 87.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
6
45.00-44.9%
0
6
55.00-32.6%
0
3
77.00-5.7%
2
4
78.00-4.5%
1
10
79.00-3.3%
0
216
80.00-2.0%
3
4334
81.00-0.8%
50
4
82.000.4%
1
38
83.001.6%
40
295
84.002.9%
3868
57
85.004.1%
126
2
86.005.3%
3
13
87.006.5%
14
0
88.007.8%
4
50
89.009.0%
5
0
91.0011.4%
6
0
96.0017.6%
6
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.71× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.18 7 Aug 7d
0.21 14 Aug 14d
0.24 21 Aug 21d
0.24 28 Aug 28d
0.28 4 Sep 35d
0.23 11 Sep 42d
0.24 18 Sep 49d
0.26 18 Dec 140d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

68
69
71
72
74
75
76
78
79
81
82
83
85
86
88
89
90
92
93
95
96
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
786 / 786
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

94/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $419032 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+25
1W price+5.9%
Call premium65%
Put premium35%
Notional split C 65% / P 35% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 70/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 334 contracts traded, $82770 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$82770
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 774 contracts traded, $78122 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$78122
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 91 contracts traded, $66835 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$66835
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 134 contracts traded, $40742 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$40742
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $31775 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$31775

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close86.48
1W+5.9%
RS14.5
Fair value+39.1%
Options pressure25
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend fit70

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.18 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.65 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:00 Volatility
Pressure 58
Move 6.1%
30 Jul 10:00 Volatility
Pressure -58
Move 6.4%
30 Jul 15:31 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 3.9%
30 Jul 15:48 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 3.9%
30 Jul 19:33 Mixed
Pressure 3
Move 4.8%
30 Jul 20:33 Mixed
Pressure -10
Move 5.5%
31 Jul 08:39 Bullish
Pressure 18
Move 5.5%
31 Jul 15:09 Volatility
Pressure -13
Move 5.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike68.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike69.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.18
Put-call0.42
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.21
Put-call1.18
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.24
Put-call3.13
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.24
Put-call0.03
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.28
Put-call2.00

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.21
Skew-0.02
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.29
Skew0.07
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.26
Skew0.03
28 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.32
Skew0.09
4 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.38
Skew0.15

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBUD260807C00087000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike87.00
Volume748
OI14
IV0.25
ContractBUD260807P00084000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike84.00
Volume312
OI295
IV0.26
ContractBUD260918C00087500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike87.50
Volume191
OI986
IV0.23
ContractBUD260918P00087500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike87.50
Volume115
OI24
IV0.23
ContractBUD270617P00087500
SidePut
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike87.50
Volume83
OI-
IV0.26
ContractBUD260918C00092500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike92.50
Volume74
OI48
IV0.23
ContractBUD260918C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike85.00
Volume64
OI1860
IV0.23
ContractBUD260821P00084000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike84.00
Volume58
OI181
IV0.24