Ticker Options Intelligence

LRMR options intelligence

Larimar Therapeutics Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 40 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 01:01 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

LRMR currently carries bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 43.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 43.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.41

Call-side skew

Trend fit 24

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -4.5%

RS -11.6

Expected move 43.1%
Put-call volume 0.41
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 4.28
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 4.00
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 37

Research Brief

LRMR has a bullish chain read with 40/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 2.28–5.72; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50.

Priced range2.28–5.72
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 2.28 to 5.72. Max pain at 2.50 sits inside that range, 37.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
2.284.00 ± 1.735.73
Confirmation level

A close beyond 5.72 or below 2.28 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 40/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 50/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure50 × 42%
+21.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation14 × 22%
+3.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement24 × 26%
+6.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score40.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
4381
2.50-37.5%
975
183
5.0025.0%
8443
15
7.5087.5%
2914
0
10.00150.0%
21
0
12.50212.5%
1132
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.25× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

4.28 21 Aug 21d
0.86 18 Sep 49d
2.19 20 Nov 112d
1.09 18 Dec 140d
1.35 15 Jan 168d
1.90 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
37 / 37
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

88/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $74454 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+50
1W price-4.5%
Call premium33%
Put premium67%
Notional split C 33% / P 67% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 24/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 163 contracts traded, $43465 estimated gross traded notional, and 58% of visible notional.
$43465
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 73 contracts traded, $11650 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$11650
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 94 contracts traded, $7235 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$7235
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 29 contracts traded, $5340 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$5340
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 372 contracts traded, $5204 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$5204

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close3.82
1W-4.5%
RS-11.6
Fair value-21.9%
Options pressure50
Speculation14
Volatility96
Trend fit24

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 43.1% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 4.28 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.41 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:35 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 24.4%
30 Jul 11:15 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 37.5%
31 Jul 10:51 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 25.0%
31 Jul 16:46 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 41.9%
31 Jul 18:01 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 41.9%
1 Aug 00:01 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 43.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 975
Puts · V 10 · OI 4381
Strike5.00
Calls · V 7 · OI 8443
Puts · V 25 · OI 183
Strike7.50
Calls · V 113 · OI 2914
Puts · V 4 · OI 15
Strike10.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 21
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.50
Calls · V 251 · OI 1132
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts9
Avg IV4.28
Put-call0.10
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts1
Avg IV0.86
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV2.19
Put-call1.00
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts7
Avg IV1.09
Put-call1.06
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts10
Avg IV1.35
Put-call1.20

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.23
Put IV1.17
Skew-0.05
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.86
Put IV-
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.78
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.16
Put IV0.96
Skew-0.20
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.98
Put IV0.88
Skew-0.11

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractLRMR261218C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI17
IV1.66
ContractLRMR261120C00002500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI10
IV2.82
ContractLRMR270219C00007500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI6
IV3.00
ContractLRMR270115P00010000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.32
ContractLRMR260821P00012500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI-
IV2.81
ContractLRMR260821C00012500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume251
OI1132
IV4.52
ContractLRMR260821C00007500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume113
OI2914
IV1.91
ContractLRMR261218P00005000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume76
OI67
IV1.80