Ticker Options Intelligence

JELD options intelligence

Jeld-Wen Holding Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 32 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 16:38 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

JELD currently carries bullish options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 49.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 49.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.43

Call-side skew

Trend fit 6

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -6.0%

RS -65.2

Expected move 49.1%
Put-call volume 0.43
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 1.75
Max pain 1.50
Underlying 1.10
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 47

Research Brief

JELD has a bullish chain read with 32/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.56–1.64; The largest call open-interest concentration is 1.50; the largest put concentration is 1.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1.50.

Priced range0.56–1.64
Call concentration1.50
Put concentration1.00
Max pain reference1.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 0.56 to 1.64. Max pain at 1.50 sits inside that range, 36.4% above spot.

Spot Max pain
0.561.10 ± 0.541.64
Confirmation level

A close beyond 1.64 or below 0.56 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 32/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 42/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure42 × 42%
+17.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation14 × 22%
+3.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement6 × 26%
+1.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score32.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 1.50; the largest put concentration is 1.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
10
1.00-9.1%
4
3
1.5036.4%
117
3
2.0081.8%
67
0
2.50127.3%
96
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.30× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.75 21 Aug 21d
1.43 16 Oct 77d
1.63 18 Dec 140d
1.35 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

1
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
47 / 47
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

82/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $32892 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+42
1W price-6.0%
Call premium31%
Put premium69%
Notional split C 31% / P 69% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 6/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 99 contracts traded, $17022 estimated gross traded notional, and 52% of visible notional.
$17022
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 65 contracts traded, $4588 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$4588
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 188 contracts traded, $3655 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$3655
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 61 contracts traded, $3500 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$3500
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 156 contracts traded, $2288 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$2288

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1.10
1W-6.0%
RS-65.2
Fair value-88.3%
Options pressure42
Speculation14
Volatility96
Trend fit6

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 49.1% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.75 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.43 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:42 Bullish
Pressure 52
Move 30.0%
30 Jul 11:20 Bullish
Pressure 33
Move 40.0%
31 Jul 03:24 Bullish
Pressure 65
Move 23.9%
31 Jul 03:44 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 37.7%
31 Jul 13:37 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 17.3%
31 Jul 15:38 Bullish
Pressure 42
Move 49.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike1.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 4
Puts · V 1 · OI 10
Strike1.50
Calls · V 55 · OI 117
Puts · V 2 · OI 3
Strike2.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 67
Puts · V 5 · OI 3
Strike2.50
Calls · V 10 · OI 96
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts7
Avg IV1.75
Put-call0.10
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts13
Avg IV1.43
Put-call0.48
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts14
Avg IV1.63
Put-call0.26
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts13
Avg IV1.35
Put-call2.50

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.31
Put IV2.13
Skew0.81
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.29
Put IV2.65
Skew1.36
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.06
Put IV0.95
Skew0.88
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV1.51
Put IV1.14
Skew-0.37

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractJELD261016C00000500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike0.50
Volume-
OI3
IV3.19
ContractJELD261016P00005000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI2
IV2.46
ContractJELD270115C00001000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.06
ContractJELD261016P00007500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI-
IV2.30
ContractJELD261016C00007500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume100
OI101
IV2.14
ContractJELD261218C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume85
OI1198
IV1.84
ContractJELD261218C00001000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike1.00
Volume57
OI582
IV1.16
ContractJELD260821C00001500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1.50
Volume55
OI117
IV1.31