Ticker Options Intelligence

BTCS options intelligence

BTCS Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 24 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 08:34 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

BTCS currently carries mixed options pressure with a 24/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 22.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 22.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.00

Balanced tape

Trend fit 38

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +4.0%

RS -64.8

Expected move 22.7%
Put-call volume 1.00
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 1.64
Max pain 1.50
Underlying 0.99
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 64

Research Brief

BTCS has a mixed chain read with 24/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.77–1.22; The largest call open-interest concentration is 1.50; the largest put concentration is 1.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00.

Priced range0.77–1.22
Call concentration1.50
Put concentration1.00
Max pain reference1.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 0.77 to 1.22. Max pain at 1.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
0.770.99 ± 0.221.22
Confirmation level

A close beyond 1.22 or below 0.77 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 24/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 10/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure10 × 42%
+4.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement38 × 26%
+9.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score23.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 1.50; the largest put concentration is 1.00. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
0.50-49.5%
9
219
1.001.0%
218
218
1.5051.5%
350
0
2.00102.0%
332
54
2.50152.4%
268
0
5.00404.9%
153
0
7.50657.3%
50
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.33× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.64 21 Aug 21d
2.40 18 Sep 49d
1.71 20 Nov 112d
0.71 15 Jan 168d
1.47 19 Feb 203d
1.23 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

1
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
64 / 64
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

24/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $119 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+10
1W price+4.0%
Call premium37%
Put premium63%
Notional split C 37% / P 63% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 38/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 12 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ATM
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 6 contracts traded, $75 estimated gross traded notional, and 63% of visible notional.
$75
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $40 estimated gross traded notional, and 34% of visible notional.
$40
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $4 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$4

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1.03
1W+4.0%
RS-64.8
Fair value-51.4%
Options pressure10
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit38

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 22.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.64 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:47 Volatility
Pressure 91
Move 21.2%
30 Jul 11:24 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 20.2%
31 Jul 02:17 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 20.2%
1 Aug 07:34 Mixed
Pressure 10
Move 22.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike0.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike1.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 218
Puts · V 6 · OI 219
Strike1.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 350
Puts · V 0 · OI 218
Strike2.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 332
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 268
Puts · V 0 · OI 54
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 153
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 50
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts14
Avg IV1.64
Put-call3.00
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV2.40
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.71
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts16
Avg IV0.71
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.47
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.07
Put IV2.01
Skew0.95
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.31
Put IV-
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.86
Put IV-
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV1.24
Put IV0.73
Skew-0.52
19 Feb 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV2.05
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBTCS260821P00001000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1.00
Volume6
OI219
IV1.40
ContractBTCS270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume4
OI3134
IV1.24
ContractBTCS260821C00001500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1.50
Volume2
OI350
IV1.07
ContractBTCS270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI3586
IV1.10
ContractBTCS270115C00007500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI1517
IV1.30
ContractBTCS270115P00001500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.50
Volume-
OI1197
IV0.32
ContractBTCS270115C00001000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.00
Volume-
OI787
IV0.01
ContractBTCS280121C00002500
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI548
IV1.26