Ticker Options Intelligence

MMS options intelligence

Maximus Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 50 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 05:17 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

MMS currently carries bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 9.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.0%

RS -27.3

Expected move 9.8%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.46
Max pain 55.00
Underlying 60.25
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 106

Research Brief

MMS has a bullish chain read with 50/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 54.35–66.15; The largest call open-interest concentration is 55.00; the largest put concentration is 55.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00.

Priced range54.35–66.15
Call concentration55.00
Put concentration55.00
Max pain reference55.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 54.35 to 66.15. Max pain at 55.00 sits inside that range, 8.7% below spot.

Spot Max pain
54.3560.25 ± 5.9066.15
Confirmation level

A close beyond 66.15 or below 54.35 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 50/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 99/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure99 × 42%
+41.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation6 × 22%
+1.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility71 × 10%
+7.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score50.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 55.00; the largest put concentration is 55.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
35.00-41.9%
0
0
40.00-33.6%
0
1
45.00-25.3%
0
12
50.00-17.0%
3
27
55.00-8.7%
6
2
60.00-0.4%
6
0
65.007.9%
3
0
70.0016.2%
0
0
75.0024.5%
0
0
80.0032.8%
0
0
85.0041.1%
0
0
90.0049.4%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.17× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.46 21 Aug 21d
0.36 18 Sep 49d
0.38 16 Oct 77d
0.39 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

50
55
60
65
70
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
106 / 106
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

79/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1898 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+99
1W price+1.0%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 7 contracts traded, $1878 estimated gross traded notional, and 99% of visible notional.
$1878
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $20 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$20

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close60.25
1W+1.0%
RS-27.3
Fair value-21.2%
Options pressure99
Speculation6
Volatility71
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.8% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.46 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:52 Bearish
Pressure -97
Move 12.0%
30 Jul 10:43 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 12.0%
30 Jul 15:59 Volatility
Pressure -24
Move 9.7%
31 Jul 10:52 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 9.3%
2 Aug 04:17 Bullish
Pressure 99
Move 9.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 27
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.46
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.38
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts26
Avg IV0.39
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.57
Put IV0.66
Skew0.09
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.45
Skew0.06
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.48
Skew0.15
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.45
Skew0.11

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMMS270115C00070000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike70.00
Volume5
OI7
IV0.34
ContractMMS270115C00065000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike65.00
Volume1
OI26
IV0.39
ContractMMS260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.53
ContractMMS270115C00075000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike75.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.35
ContractMMS261016P00050000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike50.00
Volume-
OI44
IV0.17
ContractMMS260821P00055000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI27
IV0.17
ContractMMS270115C00060000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI23
IV0.38
ContractMMS261016P00045000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI21
IV0.26