Ticker Options Intelligence

SKT options intelligence

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 42 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 14:07 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

SKT currently carries bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 7.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.54

Call-side skew

Trend fit 56

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.4%

RS 12.5

Expected move 7.0%
Put-call volume 0.54
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 40.00
Underlying 41.93
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 176

Research Brief

SKT has a bullish chain read with 42/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 38.98–44.88; The largest call open-interest concentration is 42.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.

Priced range38.98–44.88
Call concentration42.00
Put concentration40.00
Max pain reference40.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 38.98 to 44.88. Max pain at 40.00 sits inside that range, 4.6% below spot.

Spot Max pain
38.9841.93 ± 2.9544.88
Confirmation level

A close beyond 44.88 or below 38.98 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 42/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 40/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure40 × 42%
+16.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation25 × 22%
+5.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement56 × 26%
+14.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility49 × 10%
+4.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 42.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
32.00-23.7%
0
0
33.00-21.3%
0
0
34.00-18.9%
0
0
35.00-16.5%
0
0
36.00-14.1%
0
7
37.00-11.8%
0
1
38.00-9.4%
19
15
39.00-7.0%
0
23
40.00-4.6%
23
0
41.00-2.2%
54
0
42.000.2%
1063
0
43.002.6%
58
0
44.004.9%
21
0
45.007.3%
10
0
46.009.7%
0
0
47.0012.1%
0
0
48.0014.5%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.10× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.30 21 Aug 22d
0.27 18 Sep 50d
0.28 18 Dec 141d
0.27 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
176 / 176
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

71/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $38283 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+40
1W price+0.4%
Call premium95%
Put premium5%
Notional split C 95% / P 5% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 56/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 23 contracts traded, $28300 estimated gross traded notional, and 74% of visible notional.
$28300
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 13 contracts traded, $5765 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$5765
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $1485 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$1485
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 15 contracts traded, $975 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$975
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $930 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$930

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close41.93
1W+0.4%
RS12.5
Fair value+40.5%
Options pressure40
Speculation25
Volatility49
Trend fit56

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.0% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.54 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:43 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.9%
30 Jul 10:40 Bullish
Pressure 92
Move 6.2%
31 Jul 13:07 Bullish
Pressure 40
Move 7.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike32.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 0
Strike33.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike34.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike36.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike37.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike38.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 19
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike39.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 15

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.30
Put-call11.00
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts52
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.28
Put-call2.60
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts42
Avg IV0.27
Put-call0.25

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.33
Skew-0.14
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.37
Skew0.14
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.30
Skew-
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.29
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractSKT260918C00042000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike42.00
Volume11
OI51
IV0.28
ContractSKT260821P00040000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume10
OI23
IV0.33
ContractSKT260918C00028000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike28.00
Volume10
OI7
IV0.59
ContractSKT261218P00030000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike30.00
Volume8
OI11
IV0.37
ContractSKT261218C00039000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike39.00
Volume5
OI9
IV0.23
ContractSKT260918C00026000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike26.00
Volume5
OI2
IV0.70
ContractSKT260918C00029000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike29.00
Volume5
OI2
IV0.58
ContractSKT270319C00039000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike39.00
Volume5
OI-
IV0.18