Ticker Options Intelligence

RBC options intelligence

RBC Bearings Incorporated options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 05:26 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

RBC currently carries bearish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 9.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 4.14

Put-side skew

Trend fit 50

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.5%

RS 11.1

Expected move 9.7%
Put-call volume 4.14
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 0.36
Max pain 560.00
Underlying 595.07
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 500

Research Brief

RBC has a bearish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 537.57–652.57; The largest call open-interest concentration is 600.00; the largest put concentration is 390.00. The most active strike by current volume is 580.00.

Priced range537.57–652.57
Call concentration600.00
Put concentration390.00
Max pain reference560.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 537.57 to 652.57. Max pain at 560.00 sits inside that range, 5.9% below spot.

Spot Max pain
537.57595.07 ± 57.50652.57
Confirmation level

A close beyond 652.57 or below 537.57 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 54/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure54 × 42%
+22.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation9 × 22%
+2.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement50 × 26%
+13.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility64 × 10%
+6.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 600.00; the largest put concentration is 390.00. The most active strike by current volume is 580.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
250.00-58.0%
5
7
360.00-39.5%
0
7
370.00-37.8%
0
7
380.00-36.1%
1
18
390.00-34.5%
5
5
460.00-22.7%
0
12
480.00-19.3%
0
15
490.00-17.7%
1
8
500.00-16.0%
0
4
550.00-7.6%
1
2
560.00-5.9%
30
7
580.00-2.5%
13
8
600.000.8%
53
3
610.002.5%
3
0
620.004.2%
12
0
640.007.6%
5
3
660.0010.9%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.08× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.36 21 Aug 22d
0.32 18 Sep 50d
0.32 16 Oct 78d
0.33 20 Nov 113d
0.33 15 Jan 169d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

480
490
500
510
530
540
550
560
570
580
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
680
690
700
710
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

No independently verifiable option-expiry outcomes have matured yet. Legacy snapshots without a point-in-time market reference and repeated same-session snapshots are deliberately excluded.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
29 Jul 2026
Calculation
v1.x legacy
Contracts
500 / 500
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

74/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $20545 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · otm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-54
1W price+3.5%
Call premium38%
Put premium62%
Notional split C 38% / P 62% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 50/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 31 Jul Matched earnings event is 0 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · OTM
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 29 contracts traded, $12665 estimated gross traded notional, and 62% of visible notional.
$12665
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $3435 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$3435
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $2005 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$2005
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $1025 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$1025
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $865 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$865

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

1 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 1 completed session

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close595.07
1W+3.5%
RS11.1
Fair value+64.4%
Options pressure-54
Speculation9
Volatility64
Trend fit50

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.7% history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
IV 0.36 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Put-call 4.14 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:20 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 7.6%
30 Jul 04:26 Bearish
Pressure -54
Move 9.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike195.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike200.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike210.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike220.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike230.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike240.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike250.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike260.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts128
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts96
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts106
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.39
Skew0.01
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.36
Skew0.03
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.35
Skew0.02
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.36
Skew0.03
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.35
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRBC261016P00420000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike420.00
Volume28
OI-
IV0.41
ContractRBC260821C00600000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike600.00
Volume1
OI53
IV0.38
ContractRBC260821C00580000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike580.00
Volume1
OI13
IV0.39
ContractRBC270115C00650000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike650.00
Volume1
OI10
IV0.33
ContractRBC260821C00640000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike640.00
Volume1
OI5
IV0.20
ContractRBC260821C00610000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike610.00
Volume1
OI3
IV0.38
ContractRBC260821C00630000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike630.00
Volume1
OI2
IV0.40
ContractRBC270115C00600000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike600.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.34