Primary read
Mixed
Options-market disagreement
Ticker Options Intelligence
KPTI options intelligence
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
39
Market data through 29 Jul 2026
Checked 30 Jul 2026 00:19 · complete available chain
Options-market disagreement
Mixed pressure
KPTI currently carries mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 67.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.
Expected move
67.8%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.02
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
1.06
Balanced tape
Trend fit
96
Options agree with trend context
Weekly backdrop
-22.1%
RS -5.9
Expected move
67.8%
Put-call volume
1.06
Volume / OI
0.02
Reference IV
2.54
Max pain
7.50
Underlying
7.41
Nearest expiry
21 Aug 2026
Contracts
45
Options Intent Radar
Earnings/event positioning
Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.
The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.
Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $191532 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+5
1W price-22.1%
Call premium55%
Put premium45%
Notional split
C 55% / P 45%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.02
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
96/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window
10 Aug
Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM
calls cluster with 343 contracts traded, $72030 estimated gross traded notional, and 38% of visible notional.
$72030
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM
puts cluster with 77 contracts traded, $33632 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$33632
Puts · 91+ days · ATM
puts cluster with 60 contracts traded, $18420 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$18420
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 72 contracts traded, $16195 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$16195
Puts · 91+ days · OTM
puts cluster with 314 contracts traded, $15750 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$15750
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.
Activity Anomaly
Above normal
Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.
Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank0th
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close7.41
1W-22.1%
RS-5.9
Fair value-31.8%
Options pressure5
Speculation9
Volatility96
Trend fit96
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg 66.5% · 1 read
100th
90d avg 66.5% · 1 read
100th
180d avg 66.5% · 1 read
100th
30d avg 2.69 · 1 read
0th
90d avg 2.69 · 1 read
0th
180d avg 2.69 · 1 read
0th
30d avg 1.55 · 1 read
0th
90d avg 1.55 · 1 read
0th
180d avg 1.55 · 1 read
0th
30d avg 0.01 · 1 read
100th
90d avg 0.01 · 1 read
100th
180d avg 0.01 · 1 read
100th
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 11:41
Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 66.5%
29 Jul 23:19
Mixed
Pressure 5
Move 67.8%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike2.50
Calls · V 5 · OI 47
Puts · V 12 · OI 3132
Strike5.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 92
Puts · V 2 · OI 1432
Strike7.50
Calls · V 5 · OI 10416
Puts · V 25 · OI 1508
Strike10.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 3023
Puts · V 55 · OI 250
Strike12.50
Calls · V 11 · OI 1877
Puts · V 22 · OI 22
Strike15.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 5307
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 4 · OI 488
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 2464
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts13
Avg IV2.54
Put-call3.41
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV3.12
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV2.35
Put-call0.16
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts9
Avg IV1.71
Put-call74.40
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts1
Avg IV2.10
Put-call-
Skew
Call/put IV balance
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV3.65
Put IV2.49
Skew-1.16
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV2.30
Put IV-
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.97
Put IV1.63
Skew-0.34
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV1.61
Put IV1.75
Skew0.14
19 Feb 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV2.10
Skew-
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractKPTI280121P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI40
IV1.13
ContractKPTI280121C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI12
IV1.73
ContractKPTI261120P00012500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI10
IV1.72
ContractKPTI280121C00017500
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI9
IV1.45
ContractKPTI280121P00007500
SidePut
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI6
IV1.14
ContractKPTI270219P00005000
SidePut
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI5
IV2.10
ContractKPTI270115C00017500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI4
IV2.05
ContractKPTI270115C00012500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI4
IV2.02
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.