Ticker Options Intelligence

YQQQ options intelligence

YIELDMAX(R) SHORT N100 OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 57 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 3 Aug 2026 12:44 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

YQQQ currently carries bullish options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.36.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 6.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.36

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.4%

RS -13.4

Expected move 6.1%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.36
Reference IV 0.25
Max pain 9.00
Underlying 10.18
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 88

Research Brief

YQQQ has a bullish chain read with 57/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 9.57–10.80; The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 9.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00.

Priced range9.57–10.80
Call concentration10.00
Put concentration9.00
Max pain reference9.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 9.57 to 10.80. Max pain at 9.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
9.5710.18 ± 0.6210.80
Confirmation level

A close beyond 10.80 or below 9.57 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 57/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation48 × 22%
+10.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility42 × 10%
+4.2

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score56.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 9.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
5.00-50.9%
0
0
6.00-41.1%
0
0
7.00-31.3%
0
0
8.00-21.4%
0
1
9.00-11.6%
0
0
10.00-1.8%
1
0
11.008.0%
1
0
12.0017.8%
0
0
13.0027.6%
0
0
14.0037.5%
0
0
15.0047.3%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$853Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak11.00+$768
Negative peak9.00-$23
Nearest balance9.21Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
9.00-11.6%
-$23
10.00-1.8%
+$88
11.008.0%
+$768
12.0017.8%
+$9
14.0037.5%
-$9
15.0047.3%
+$10
16.0057.1%
+$4
17.0066.9%
+$5
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.54× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.25 21 Aug 21d
0.27 18 Sep 49d
0.21 18 Dec 140d
0.16 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

9
10
11
12
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
88 / 88
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

42/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $255 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · atm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+0.4%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.36 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ATM
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $240 estimated gross traded notional, and 94% of visible notional.
$240
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $10 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$10
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $5 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$5

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close10.18
1W+0.4%
RS-13.4
Fair value-10.2%
Options pressure100
Speculation48
Volatility42
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.1% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.25 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.36 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 13:28 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 6.9%
30 Jul 13:15 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.4%
31 Jul 12:55 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 7.2%
3 Aug 11:44 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike6.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike8.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike9.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike10.00
Calls · V 12 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike11.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.25
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.21
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.16
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.07
Skew-0.12
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.12
Put IV0.48
Skew0.36
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.06
Put IV0.47
Skew0.41
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.04
Put IV0.03
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractYQQQ260821C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume12
OI1
IV0.01
ContractYQQQ260821C00011000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike11.00
Volume2
OI1
IV0.19
ContractYQQQ270319C00015000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike15.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.21
ContractYQQQ261218C00011000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike11.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.06
ContractYQQQ260918C00011000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike11.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.12
ContractYQQQ260918C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.47
ContractYQQQ260918C00017000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.60
ContractYQQQ261218C00016000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike16.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.32