Ticker Options Intelligence

CAE options intelligence

CAE Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 39 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 00:19 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CAE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 20.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.27.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 20.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.27

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.35

Call-side skew

Trend fit 2

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +2.0%

RS -16.2

Expected move 20.0%
Put-call volume 0.35
Volume / OI 0.27
Reference IV 0.80
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 25.18
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 28

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

82/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $43727 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+59
1W price+2.0%
Call premium80%
Put premium20%
Notional split C 80% / P 20% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.27 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 2/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 11 Aug Matched earnings event is 12 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 18 contracts traded, $12425 estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional.
$12425
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $10200 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$10200
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 22 contracts traded, $9910 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$9910
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $4032 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$4032
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $3100 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$3100

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

100

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close25.18
1W+2.0%
RS-16.2
Fair value+5.8%
Options pressure59
Speculation20
Volatility96
Trend fit2

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 20.0% elevated
30d avg 13.0% · 1 read 100th
90d avg 13.0% · 1 read 100th
180d avg 13.0% · 1 read 100th
IV 0.80 elevated
30d avg 0.52 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.52 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.52 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.35 normal building
30d avg - · 0 reads -
90d avg - · 0 reads -
180d avg - · 0 reads -
Volume/OI 0.27 elevated
30d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:30 Mixed
Pressure 10
Move 13.0%
29 Jul 23:19 Bullish
Pressure 59
Move 20.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike15.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 14
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV0.80
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.60
Put-call1.00
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts10
Avg IV0.49
Put-call0.10
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts2
Avg IV0.61
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.92
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.56
Skew0.12
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.53
Skew-0.03
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCAE260918P00020000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.03
ContractCAE270319P00035000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.55
ContractCAE270319C00012500
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI1
IV0.67
ContractCAE261218C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractCAE260821P00035000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI-
IV1.64
ContractCAE260918C00025000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractCAE260918P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractCAE261218C00022500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike22.50
Volume20
OI22
IV0.49