CAE NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CAE Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Open interactive chart View report data Download investor PDF
Latest close 25.18 USD
2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -1.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 25/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 25.18 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.0% latest completed week
4W Return -1.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.00% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.3%. Indicator stack 31/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.00% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 25/100 conviction; expected move 13.0%. News sentiment 51/100 32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -1.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.3% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and -12.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.0%
4W-1.3%
12W-2.6%
26W-24.1%
52W-12.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change67.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.23Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength43/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Value66/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework37/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
25.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-22.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-7.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

CAE shows mixed options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 13.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction25/100
Expected move13.0%
Put/call volume
Pressure10
Speculation0
Volatility76
Trend agreement51
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

6 positive · 23 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.4%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.00%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.00% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 67 SVQF37/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 636.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

CAE shows mixed options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 13.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 13.0% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

Can CAE (TSX:CAE) Justify Its Valuation As Nasdaq Inclusion And Saab Deal Draw Interest? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202625.18 USD2.0%27.63 USD23.80 USD-0.18-16.231.1MOff
17 Jul 202624.69 USD-3.6%27.84 USD23.79 USD-0.18-18.783.4MOff
10 Jul 202625.62 USD0.4%28.02 USD23.77 USD-0.25-17.562.8MOff
3 Jul 202625.51 USD0.0%28.16 USD23.74 USD-0.38-17.282.7MOff
26 Jun 202625.50 USD1.7%28.22 USD23.72 USD-0.53-16.063.2MOff
19 Jun 202625.07 USD-0.9%28.27 USD23.70 USD-0.54-19.853.1MOff
12 Jun 202625.30 USD-0.8%28.30 USD23.68 USD-0.60-18.773.8MOff
5 Jun 202625.50 USD-1.2%28.34 USD23.65 USD-0.69-18.093.2MOff
29 May 202625.81 USD11.4%28.39 USD23.62 USD-0.70-19.555.9MOff
22 May 202623.16 USD-9.1%28.47 USD23.59 USD-0.81-27.097.4MOff
15 May 202625.49 USD-5.4%28.65 USD23.59 USD-0.79-19.514.0MOff
8 May 202626.94 USD4.3%28.72 USD23.57 USD-0.81-15.093.7MOff
1 May 202625.84 USD2.1%28.73 USD23.53 USD-0.72-17.015.1MOff
24 Apr 202625.32 USD-5.8%28.82 USD23.51 USD-0.75-18.295.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.