UNP NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials · Railroads

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Latest close 292.1 USD
-4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a 3.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 292.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 3.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 76.9% 40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.5%. Indicator stack 87/80 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 44/100 conviction; expected move 2.7%. News sentiment 55/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a 3.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.5% over four weeks, 11.0% over 12 weeks, and 36.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.9%
4W3.5%
12W11.0%
26W25.6%
52W36.2%
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change61.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change31.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework40/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
7.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
42.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
33.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
16.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
5.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-36.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

UNP shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.42, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction44/100
Expected move2.7%
Put/call volume0.42
Pressure46
Speculation41
Volatility28
Trend agreement49
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

16 positive · 25 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-4.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis79/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; 6 reversal markers Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 43 SVQF40/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 607.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

UNP shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.42, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.7% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

Union Pacific Corporation $UNP Shares Acquired by Western Wealth Management LLC Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

1 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026292.1 USD-4.9%259.6 USD230.2 USD1.3810.2518.2MOn
24 Jul 2026307.3 USD1.8%257.5 USD229.7 USD1.3617.5220.7MOn
17 Jul 2026301.8 USD5.2%255.0 USD229.1 USD1.2215.1315.0MOn
10 Jul 2026287.0 USD1.7%252.6 USD228.5 USD0.898.1010.3MOn
3 Jul 2026282.2 USD5.2%251.0 USD227.9 USD0.857.8210.5MOn
26 Jun 2026268.4 USD4.5%249.3 USD227.3 USD0.704.7715.3MOn
19 Jun 2026256.9 USD-5.8%248.0 USD226.8 USD0.53-2.1211.7MOn
12 Jun 2026272.7 USD0.1%246.9 USD226.4 USD0.554.7312.0MOn
5 Jun 2026272.3 USD3.7%245.1 USD225.8 USD0.405.1613.1MOn
29 May 2026262.6 USD-0.7%243.3 USD225.3 USD0.30-1.1119.6MOn
22 May 2026264.5 USD-1.7%241.7 USD224.8 USD0.290.9014.5MOn
15 May 2026269.1 USD2.2%240.0 USD224.3 USD0.463.4413.3MOn
8 May 2026263.3 USD-0.6%238.5 USD223.7 USD0.361.2911.4MOn
1 May 2026264.9 USD-0.9%237.1 USD223.2 USD0.304.2214.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.