GBX NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Greenbrier Companies Inc · Industrials · Railroads

Latest close 49.25 USD
-5.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.5%, after a 4.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 88d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 49.25 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.5% latest completed week
4W Return 4.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.24% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.5%, after a 4.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3412-week average 0.39

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.3% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and 14.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.5%
4W4.3%
12W-2.6%
26W-1.6%
52W14.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change98.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change43.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework27/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-25.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-55.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-50.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

GBX shows bearish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 7.00, expected move of 7.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction52/100
Expected move7.9%
Put/call volume7.00
Pressure-67
Speculation4
Volatility56
Trend agreement65
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 4

0 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

7 positive · 33 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings88dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-5.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202649.25 USD-5.5%50.49 USD47.70 USD-0.01-5.831.9MOff
24 Jul 202652.12 USD4.2%50.40 USD47.66 USD-0.150.632.0MOff
17 Jul 202650.02 USD6.5%50.21 USD47.60 USD-0.28-4.052.9MOff
10 Jul 202646.99 USD-0.5%50.07 USD47.54 USD-0.45-11.493.5MOff
3 Jul 202647.23 USD-5.6%50.05 USD47.50 USD-0.48-10.383.6MOff
26 Jun 202650.04 USD1.4%50.00 USD47.45 USD-0.63-3.652.3MOff
19 Jun 202649.36 USD3.2%49.79 USD47.39 USD-0.91-7.351.8MOff
12 Jun 202647.85 USD2.1%49.58 USD47.26 USD-1.04-9.582.9MOff
5 Jun 202646.89 USD-0.5%49.39 USD47.14 USD-1.03-11.142.2MOff
29 May 202647.11 USD-1.7%49.24 USD47.02 USD-0.91-13.231.2MOff
22 May 202647.94 USD0.6%49.03 USD46.89 USD-0.76-10.731.6MOff
15 May 202647.64 USD-5.8%48.93 USD46.75 USD-0.66-10.771.9MOn
8 May 202650.55 USD1.0%48.82 USD46.61 USD-0.54-5.481.4MOn
1 May 202650.04 USD1.5%48.57 USD46.44 USD-0.33-4.451.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.