- The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HXL
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hexcel Corporation · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
110.3 USD
6.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.2%, after a 14.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 0d.
Setup score
81
out of 100
Latest Close
110.3 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
6.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
14.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 14.3%.
Indicator stack
96/80
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.86%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
47/100 conviction; expected move 9.8%.
News sentiment
60/100
55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
0d
Next report is scheduled for 29 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.2%, after a 14.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8712-week average 0.77
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.87Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 14.3% over four weeks, 19.8% over 12 weeks, and 82.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak48 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change121.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change63.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework6/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 70.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 29.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 23.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 17.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -5.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -3.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
HXL shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.26, expected move of 9.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction47/100
Expected move9.8%
Put/call volume0.26
Insider activity14 / 6
14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment60/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
24 positive · 30 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 29 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-10.7%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+6.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank4 / 82
Group average-6.5%
Trend breadth23.2%
Trend23.2%active weekly trend signals
MD37.8%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape80/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 80/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.87; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.86%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.86% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors33/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 12; Small Cap Core rank 94 SVQF6/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 950.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options44/100HXL shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.26, expected move of 9.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.8% Sentiment60/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
RTX raises outlook after earnings top estimates on aerospace, defense demand (RTX:NYSE) Insiders14 / 614 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 29 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 110.3 USD | 6.2% | 89.14 USD | 68.47 USD | 1.12 | 28.79 | 7.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 103.8 USD | 4.7% | 87.99 USD | 68.20 USD | 1.03 | 21.59 | 4.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 99.15 USD | -0.2% | 87.00 USD | 68.00 USD | 1.01 | 15.17 | 5.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 99.31 USD | 2.9% | 86.12 USD | 67.84 USD | 0.87 | 17.66 | 3.5M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 96.52 USD | -1.1% | 85.36 USD | 67.69 USD | 0.51 | 17.67 | 6.6M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 97.63 USD | -0.1% | 84.67 USD | 67.54 USD | 0.07 | 16.98 | 4.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 97.71 USD | 9.6% | 83.82 USD | 67.36 USD | -0.33 | 18.97 | 3.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 89.16 USD | -0.7% | 82.86 USD | 67.18 USD | -0.57 | 9.94 | 3.9M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 89.79 USD | 4.2% | 82.18 USD | 67.07 USD | -0.40 | 8.45 | 4.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 86.19 USD | -2.8% | 81.55 USD | 66.95 USD | -0.29 | 6.15 | 5.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 88.65 USD | -7.0% | 81.09 USD | 66.84 USD | -0.12 | 10.65 | 3.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 95.32 USD | 3.6% | 80.18 USD | 66.72 USD | -0.08 | 19.82 | 4.3M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 92.05 USD | 3.2% | 79.06 USD | 66.55 USD | -0.29 | 19.23 | 5.8M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 89.21 USD | 0.7% | 78.13 USD | 66.41 USD | -0.51 | 17.49 | 9.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.