ESLT NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Elbit Systems Ltd · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 820.2 USD
10.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.6%, after a 14.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 820.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 10.6% latest completed week
4W Return 14.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.6%, after a 14.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.6% over four weeks, -1.2% over 12 weeks, and 81.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.6%
4W14.6%
12W-1.2%
26W14.2%
52W81.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1552.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength35/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework10/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
65.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
45.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
65.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
32.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-1.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ESLT shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.86, expected move of 10.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction29/100
Expected move10.4%
Put/call volume0.86
Pressure10
Speculation8
Volatility75
Trend agreement61
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

23 positive · 30 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+10.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses11
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026820.2 USD10.6%788.6 USD388.5 USD-1.1814.46386.1KOff
17 Jul 2026741.5 USD-1.4%780.3 USD384.5 USD-1.342.58401.5KOff
10 Jul 2026751.8 USD-6.4%774.0 USD381.1 USD-1.250.22325.1KOff
3 Jul 2026803.3 USD12.2%766.1 USD377.6 USD-1.149.49425.7KOn
26 Jun 2026715.7 USD-9.1%755.4 USD373.7 USD-1.07-1.00456.8KOn
19 Jun 2026787.2 USD-7.7%747.2 USD370.4 USD-0.814.43523.3KOn
12 Jun 2026853.0 USD3.7%736.7 USD366.7 USD-0.7716.68516.1KOn
5 Jun 2026822.3 USD-6.5%724.0 USD362.5 USD-0.7815.79402.3KOn
29 May 2026879.8 USD14.7%712.1 USD358.6 USD-0.7419.16854.0KOn
22 May 2026766.8 USD2.4%698.7 USD354.2 USD-0.777.70557.5KOn
15 May 2026749.0 USD-4.1%689.5 USD350.5 USD-0.607.16596.8KOn
8 May 2026781.2 USD-5.9%680.5 USD347.0 USD-0.1912.05637.4KOn
1 May 2026830.1 USD1.1%671.1 USD343.1 USD0.3226.22433.7KOn
24 Apr 2026820.9 USD-5.9%660.5 USD339.0 USD0.7127.76481.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.