Ticker Options Intelligence

CHD options intelligence

Church & Dwight Company Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 16:40 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CHD currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.13.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.9%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.13

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.70

Call-side skew

Trend fit 67

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -0.4%

RS -2.2

Expected move 4.9%
Put-call volume 0.70
Volume / OI 0.13
Reference IV 0.38
Max pain 95.00
Underlying 97.64
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 102

Research Brief

CHD has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 92.84–102.44; The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 95.00. The most active strike by current volume is 100.00.

Priced range92.84–102.44
Call concentration100.00
Put concentration95.00
Max pain reference95.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 92.84 to 102.44. Max pain at 95.00 sits inside that range, 2.7% below spot.

Spot Max pain
92.8497.64 ± 4.80102.44
Confirmation level

A close beyond 102.44 or below 92.84 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 27/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure27 × 42%
+11.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation19 × 22%
+4.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement67 × 26%
+17.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility46 × 10%
+4.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 95.00. The most active strike by current volume is 100.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
10
55.00-43.7%
0
1
60.00-38.5%
0
11
65.00-33.4%
0
2
70.00-28.3%
0
1
75.00-23.2%
0
36
80.00-18.1%
0
67
85.00-12.9%
1
74
90.00-7.8%
53
112
95.00-2.7%
53
73
100.002.4%
891
28
105.007.5%
492
0
110.0012.7%
87
0
115.0017.8%
39
0
120.0022.9%
4
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.31× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.38 21 Aug 21d
0.32 18 Sep 49d
0.28 16 Oct 77d
0.31 20 Nov 112d
0.29 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A99/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes99%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
102 / 102
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

78/100
Primary intent Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $232475 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+27
1W price-0.4%
Call premium79%
Put premium21%
Notional split C 79% / P 21% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.13 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 67/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 7 Aug Matched earnings event is 6 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 52 contracts traded, $113690 estimated gross traded notional, and 49% of visible notional.
$113690
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 143 contracts traded, $26794 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$26794
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 39 contracts traded, $21615 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$21615
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 60 contracts traded, $19650 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$19650
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 30 contracts traded, $18820 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$18820

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close97.64
1W-0.4%
RS-2.2
Fair value+1.3%
Options pressure27
Speculation19
Volatility46
Trend fit67

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.9% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.38 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.70 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.13 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:16 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 6.6%
30 Jul 10:12 Mixed
Pressure -11
Move 5.7%
31 Jul 12:44 Mixed
Pressure -14
Move 6.7%
31 Jul 14:17 Bullish
Pressure 35
Move 5.3%
31 Jul 15:40 Bullish
Pressure 27
Move 4.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 10 · OI 10
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 9 · OI 11
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 2
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike80.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 36
Strike85.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 1
Puts · V 8 · OI 67
Strike90.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 53
Puts · V 1 · OI 74

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.38
Put-call4.08
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.28
Put-call0.57
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts33
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.37
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts21
Avg IV0.29
Put-call0.32

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.32
Skew0.00
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.33
Skew0.05
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.27
Skew0.01
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.30
Skew0.01
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.27
Put IV0.29
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCHD261016C00085000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI34
IV0.41
ContractCHD261120C00050000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike50.00
Volume-
OI24
IV0.00
ContractCHD261016P00120000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike120.00
Volume-
OI5
IV0.51
ContractCHD261120C00055000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI5
IV0.00
ContractCHD261016P00110000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike110.00
Volume-
OI5
IV0.50
ContractCHD261016C00080000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.26
ContractCHD260918C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.37
ContractCHD270115C00075000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.43