Ticker Options Intelligence

TWI options intelligence

Titan International Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 28 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 02:47 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

TWI currently carries mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 14.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 14.2%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 66

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -10.0%

RS -19.0

Expected move 14.2%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 1.12
Max pain 7.50
Underlying 7.22
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 52

Research Brief

TWI has a mixed chain read with 28/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 6.20–8.24; The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range6.20–8.24
Call concentration10.00
Put concentration7.50
Max pain reference7.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 6.20 to 8.24. Max pain at 7.50 sits inside that range, 3.9% above spot.

Spot Max pain
6.207.22 ± 1.028.24
Confirmation level

A close beyond 8.24 or below 6.20 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 28/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 3/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure3 × 42%
+1.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement66 × 26%
+17.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score28.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-65.4%
0
21
5.00-30.7%
4
35
7.503.9%
1
4
10.0038.5%
37
0
12.5073.1%
0
0
15.00107.8%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.28× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.12 21 Aug 21d
0.75 18 Sep 49d
0.77 16 Oct 77d
0.49 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

8
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
52 / 52
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

28/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+3
1W price-10.0%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 66/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close7.22
1W-10.0%
RS-19.0
Fair value-22.3%
Options pressure3
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit66

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 14.2% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.12 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:27 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 13.2%
30 Jul 11:12 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 18.1%
31 Jul 10:45 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 12.5%
31 Jul 15:13 Bullish
Pressure 30
Move 12.8%
31 Jul 16:34 Bullish
Pressure 30
Move 12.8%
2 Aug 01:47 Mixed
Pressure 3
Move 14.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 35
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 37
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV1.12
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.75
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.77
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts12
Avg IV0.49
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.12
Put IV0.78
Skew0.65
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.07
Put IV0.51
Skew0.44
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.41
Skew0.08
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.02
Put IV0.29
Skew0.26

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractTWI270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI207
IV0.22
ContractTWI261016P00010000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI161
IV0.01
ContractTWI261016P00007500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI132
IV0.58
ContractTWI270115C00007500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI103
IV0.02
ContractTWI261016C00010000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI94
IV0.34
ContractTWI260821C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI37
IV0.66
ContractTWI260821P00007500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI35
IV0.47
ContractTWI260821P00005000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI21
IV0.78