Ticker Options Intelligence

AGO options intelligence

Assured Guaranty Ltd options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 56 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 02:06 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

AGO currently carries bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 6.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 35

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.5%

RS -4.6

Expected move 6.5%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 80.00
Underlying 85.36
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 174

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

71/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $4458 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · itm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-100
1W price+0.5%
Call premium0%
Put premium100%
Notional split C 0% / P 100% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 35/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 7 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · ITM
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $4210 estimated gross traded notional, and 94% of visible notional.
$4210
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $248 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$248

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

0

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank0th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close85.36
1W+0.5%
RS-4.6
Fair value+8.0%
Options pressure-100
Speculation0
Volatility47
Trend fit35

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.5% muted
30d avg 6.7% · 1 read 0th
90d avg 6.7% · 1 read 0th
180d avg 6.7% · 1 read 0th
IV 0.30 muted
30d avg 0.35 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.35 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.35 · 1 read 0th
Put-call - normal building
30d avg 13.30 · 1 read -
90d avg 13.30 · 1 read -
180d avg 13.30 · 1 read -
Volume/OI 0.00 muted
30d avg 0.03 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.03 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.03 · 1 read 0th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:52 Bearish
Pressure -87
Move 6.7%
30 Jul 01:06 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 6.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 123

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.25
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.11
Put IV0.39
Skew0.27
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.29
Skew0.05
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.28
Skew0.03
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.32
Skew0.09
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.32
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAGO261016P00105000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike105.00
Volume2
OI424
IV0.41
ContractAGO260918P00080000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike80.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.29
ContractAGO260918P00075000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike75.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.13
ContractAGO270115C00080000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI1000
IV0.22
ContractAGO261016P00075000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI548
IV0.11
ContractAGO261016P00070000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI527
IV0.16
ContractAGO270115C00085000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI506
IV0.22
ContractAGO261016P00080000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI477
IV0.28