Ticker Options Intelligence

VIV options intelligence

Telefonica Brasil SA ADR options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 36 Market data through 6 Aug 2026 Checked 6 Aug 2026 16:39 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

VIV currently carries bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.64.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 11.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.64

Current volume is elevated versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.50

Call-side skew

Trend fit 27

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -7.6%

RS -9.2

Expected move 11.6%
Put-call volume 0.50
Volume / OI 0.64
Reference IV 1.20
Max pain 17.50
Underlying 12.92
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 20

Research Brief

VIV has a bullish chain read with 36/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 11.42–14.42; The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 17.50. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50.

Priced range11.42–14.42
Call concentration10.00
Put concentration17.50
Max pain reference17.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 11.42 to 14.42. Max pain at 17.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
11.4212.92 ± 1.5014.42
Confirmation level

A close beyond 14.42 or below 11.42 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 36/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 33/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure33 × 42%
+13.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation23 × 22%
+5.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement27 × 26%
+7.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score35.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 17.50. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-80.7%
0
0
10.00-22.6%
2
0
12.50-3.3%
0
0
15.0016.1%
0
15
17.5035.4%
0
0
20.0054.8%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Balanced gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 100% coverage

Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.

Net profile-$131Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak10.00+$13
Negative peak17.50-$151
Nearest balance10.58Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
10.00-22.6%
+$13
17.5035.4%
-$151
20.0054.8%
+$8
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.37× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

1.20 21 Aug 15d
0.00 18 Sep 43d
0.57 20 Nov 106d
3.29 19 Feb 197d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

13
15
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
6 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
20 / 20
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call activity against legacy put OI

58/100
Primary intent Call activity against legacy put OI

Call activity is dominant while put open interest remains large but current put volume is not leading.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Call activity against legacy put OI matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $17,724 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+33
1W price-7.6%
Call premium62%
Put premium38%
Notional split C 62% / P 38% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.64 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 27/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Do not infer a hedge unwind without next-session open-interest changes and opening/closing data.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ITM
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 16 contracts traded, $6,145 estimated gross traded notional, and 35% of visible notional.
$6,145
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 7 contracts traded, $5,237 estimated gross traded notional, and 30% of visible notional.
$5,237
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 38 contracts traded, $3,000 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$3,000
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $2,700 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$2,700
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 8 contracts traded, $520 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$520

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

7 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 7 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close12.92
1W-7.6%
RS-9.2
Fair value+30.4%
Options pressure33
Speculation23
Volatility96
Trend fit27

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.6% history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
IV 1.20 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.50 history building
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.64 history building
30d avg - · 7/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 7/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 7/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:18 Bullish
Pressure 71
Move 13.7%
30 Jul 10:13 Mixed
Pressure -7
Move 16.4%
30 Jul 15:00 Bullish
Pressure 35
Move 15.1%
30 Jul 15:17 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 15.3%
31 Jul 17:17 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 14.9%
31 Jul 22:23 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 15.3%
2 Aug 09:24 Volatility
Pressure 96
Move 11.8%
4 Aug 10:04 Bullish
Pressure 96
Move 5.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 4 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike15.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 15 · OI 15
Strike20.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts9
Avg IV1.20
Put-call0.84
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts1
Avg IV0.00
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts9
Avg IV0.57
Put-call0.20
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts1
Avg IV3.29
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.50
Skew0.25
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.00
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.13
Put IV0.00
Skew-0.12
19 Feb 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVIV261120P00017500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI65
IV1.01
ContractVIV270219C00002500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV3.29
ContractVIV260821P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.50
ContractVIV261120C00002500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractVIV261120C00007500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI-
IV1.87
ContractVIV261120P00012500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractVIV261120C00017500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike17.50
Volume30
OI76
IV1.25
ContractVIV260821P00017500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume15
OI15
IV2.62